Definitive Analysis
Loading...
Definitive Analysis

Financial Statements

Ticker

Industry

Sector

National Petroleum Co., Ltd. (9937.TW)

Company Dividend Discount ModelIndustry: Oil & Gas Refining & MarketingSector: Energy

Valuation Snapshot

Stable Growth$25.22 - $40.61$32.16
Multi-Stage$54.15 - $59.45$56.75
Blended Fair Value$44.45
Current Price$61.80
Upside-28.07%
DecisionDon't Buy

Dividend History & Growth Metrics (10Y)

Metric5Y CAGR10Y CAGR2024202320222021202020192018201720162015
DPS0.98%5.76%2.102.102.102.312.002.002.002.001.401.20
YoY Growth--0.00%0.00%-8.70%15.00%0.00%-0.02%0.02%42.86%16.67%0.00%
Dividend Yield--3.42%3.18%3.41%4.68%3.97%4.80%4.84%4.93%3.52%3.32%

Stable Growth Model (Adjusted)

(USD in Millions except Per Share Data)
Net Income To Common (M)734.84
(-) Cash Dividends Paid (M)648.99
(=) Cash Retained (M)85.85
MetricLOWBASEHIGH
Required Retention Ratio20.0%12.5%7.5%
(=) Cash Required (M)146.9791.8555.11
Cash Retained (M)85.8585.8585.85
(-) Cash Required (M)-146.97-91.85-55.11
(=) Excess Retained (M)-61.12-6.0130.73
(/) Shares Outstanding (M)308.35308.35308.35
(=) Excess Retained per Share-0.20-0.020.10
LTM Dividend per Share2.102.102.10
(+) Excess Retained per Share-0.20-0.020.10
(=) Adjusted Dividend1.912.092.20
WACC / Discount Rate6.46%6.46%6.46%
Growth Rate-1.02%-0.02%0.98%
Fair Value$25.22$32.16$40.61
Upside / Downside-59.19%-47.96%-34.29%

Multi-Stage Model: Projections

(USD in Millions)
MetricTTMDec-27Dec-28Dec-29Dec-30Dec-31Terminal
Net Income (M)734.84734.69734.55734.41734.26734.12756.14
Payout Ratio88.32%88.65%88.99%89.33%89.66%90.00%92.50%
Projected Dividends (M)648.99651.34653.68656.02658.37660.71699.43

Multi-Stage Valuation

MetricLOWBASEHIGH
WACC / Discount Rate6.46%6.46%6.46%
Growth Rate-1.02%-0.02%0.98%
Year 1 PV (M)605.68611.80617.92
Year 2 PV (M)565.25576.73588.32
Year 3 PV (M)527.51543.66560.14
Year 4 PV (M)492.29512.48533.30
Year 5 PV (M)459.41483.09507.74
PV of Terminal Value (M)14,045.7514,769.7515,523.31
Equity Value (M)16,695.8817,497.5118,330.72
Shares Outstanding (M)308.35308.35308.35
Fair Value$54.15$56.75$59.45
Upside / Downside-12.39%-8.18%-3.81%

High-Yield Dividend Screener

« Prev Page 25 of 30 Next »
Ticker Company Dividend Yield % Dividend Per Share Payout Ratio %
MDCM.D.C. Holdings, Inc.0.86%$0.5455.94%
AXPAmerican Express Company0.85%$3.1720.85%
FOXAFox Corporation0.85%$0.6213.96%
LMSTLimestone Bancorp, Inc.0.85%$0.208.06%
RCLRoyal Caribbean Cruises Ltd.0.85%$2.4116.19%
AZZAZZ Inc.0.84%$0.928.89%
HIBBHibbett, Inc.0.84%$0.749.00%
MARMarriott International, Inc.0.84%$2.6227.38%
MORNMorningstar, Inc.0.84%$1.7720.03%
SGHSMART Global Holdings, Inc.0.84%$0.1430.96%
URIUnited Rentals, Inc.0.84%$7.1318.10%
0HYJ.LCintas Corporation0.83%$1.5434.15%
EFXEquifax Inc.0.83%$1.7833.46%
GMGeneral Motors Company0.82%$0.6621.22%
KVSAKhosla Ventures Acquisition Co.0.81%$0.099.61%
WMTWalmart Inc.0.81%$0.9131.92%
BMIBadger Meter, Inc.0.80%$1.4130.10%
FRDFriedman Industries, Incorporated0.80%$0.169.82%
ITTITT Inc.0.80%$1.4022.66%
MLIMueller Industries, Inc.0.80%$0.9413.89%
SSSSLSuRo Capital Corp. 6.00% Notes due 20260.80%$0.208.46%
RGLDRoyal Gold, Inc.0.79%$1.7524.00%
VRSKVerisk Analytics, Inc.0.79%$1.7426.41%
COFCapital One Financial Corporation0.78%$1.9487.57%
EEExcelerate Energy, Inc.0.78%$0.229.21%
0K36.LMoody's Corporation0.77%$3.8230.70%
HCIHCI Group, Inc.0.77%$1.429.00%
PHParker-Hannifin Corporation0.77%$6.8524.15%
SEISolaris Energy Infrastructure, Inc.0.77%$0.3944.96%
0HQN.LCboe Global Markets, Inc.0.76%$1.9020.31%
ASICAtegrity Specialty Holdings LLC0.76%$0.1512.77%
GLGlobe Life Inc.0.75%$1.037.35%
0KYY.LS&P Global Inc.0.74%$3.8128.09%
PHMPulteGroup, Inc.0.74%$0.896.67%
ROPRoper Technologies, Inc.0.74%$3.2022.09%
ZWSZurn Elkay Water Solutions Corporation0.74%$0.3530.63%
JOEThe St. Joe Company0.73%$0.4324.05%
TOLToll Brothers, Inc.0.73%$0.997.16%
TTEKTetra Tech, Inc.0.73%$0.2526.25%
0HCB.LAlcoa Corporation0.72%$0.409.08%
AAgilent Technologies, Inc.0.72%$0.9921.64%
FCFSFirstCash Holdings, Inc0.72%$1.1316.40%
TRAKReposiTrak, Inc.0.72%$0.0922.94%
BKNGBooking Holdings Inc.0.71%$37.7824.39%
PGCPeapack-Gladstone Financial Corporation0.71%$0.2010.22%
ASOAcademy Sports and Outdoors, Inc.0.70%$0.376.63%
BROBrown & Brown, Inc.0.70%$0.5418.02%
INTUIntuit Inc.0.70%$4.3929.97%
MSFTMicrosoft Corporation0.70%$3.3123.52%
NCRNCR Corporation0.70%$0.111.70%