Definitive Analysis
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Definitive Analysis

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The Company for Cooperative Insurance (8010.SR)

Company Dividend Discount ModelIndustry: Insurance - DiversifiedSector: Financial Services

Valuation Snapshot

Stable Growth$134.20 - $284.89$190.58
Multi-Stage$98.39 - $107.44$102.83
Blended Fair Value$146.71
Current Price$136.00
Upside7.87%
DecisionDon't Buy

Dividend History & Growth Metrics (10Y)

Metric5Y CAGR10Y CAGR2024202320222021202020192018201720162015
DPS0.00%101.13%0.990.830.000.650.000.000.003.340.660.96
YoY Growth--18.87%445,796.43%-99.97%0.00%0.00%-100.00%-100.00%401.70%-31.02%105,280.29%
Dividend Yield--0.73%0.53%0.00%1.09%0.00%0.00%0.00%5.35%0.85%1.81%

Stable Growth Model (Adjusted)

(USD in Millions except Per Share Data)
Net Income To Common (M)1,070.33
(-) Cash Dividends Paid (M)227.11
(=) Cash Retained (M)843.22
MetricLOWBASEHIGH
Required Retention Ratio20.0%12.5%7.5%
(=) Cash Required (M)214.07133.7980.27
Cash Retained (M)843.22843.22843.22
(-) Cash Required (M)-214.07-133.79-80.27
(=) Excess Retained (M)629.15709.43762.94
(/) Shares Outstanding (M)149.77149.77149.77
(=) Excess Retained per Share4.204.745.09
LTM Dividend per Share1.521.521.52
(+) Excess Retained per Share4.204.745.09
(=) Adjusted Dividend5.726.256.61
WACC / Discount Rate9.99%9.99%9.99%
Growth Rate5.50%6.50%7.50%
Fair Value$134.20$190.58$284.89
Upside / Downside-1.32%40.13%109.48%

Multi-Stage Model: Projections

(USD in Millions)
MetricTTMDec-27Dec-28Dec-29Dec-30Dec-31Terminal
Net Income (M)1,070.331,139.901,214.001,292.901,376.941,466.441,510.44
Payout Ratio21.22%34.98%48.73%62.49%76.24%90.00%92.50%
Projected Dividends (M)227.11398.68591.60807.901,049.831,319.801,397.16

Multi-Stage Valuation

MetricLOWBASEHIGH
WACC / Discount Rate9.99%9.99%9.99%
Growth Rate5.50%6.50%7.50%
Year 1 PV (M)359.05362.46365.86
Year 2 PV (M)479.83488.97498.20
Year 3 PV (M)590.14607.08624.35
Year 4 PV (M)690.64717.20744.52
Year 5 PV (M)781.94819.70858.92
PV of Terminal Value (M)11,834.8512,406.4812,999.99
Equity Value (M)14,736.4615,401.9016,091.82
Shares Outstanding (M)149.77149.77149.77
Fair Value$98.39$102.83$107.44
Upside / Downside-27.65%-24.39%-21.00%

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