Definitive Analysis
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Definitive Analysis

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Company Industry Sector

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Sector

Nihon Trim Co., Ltd. (6788.T)

Company Dividend Discount ModelIndustry: Industrial - Pollution & Treatment ControlsSector: Industrials

Valuation Snapshot

Stable Growth$4,587.08 - $9,068.02$6,346.88
Multi-Stage$3,704.59 - $4,048.95$3,873.63
Blended Fair Value$5,110.26
Current Price$4,345.00
Upside17.61%
DecisionDon't Buy

Dividend History & Growth Metrics (10Y)

Metric5Y CAGR10Y CAGR2025202420232022202120202019201820172016
DPS7.76%4.91%89.74126.6859.9960.8071.9961.7663.5065.1765.7955.28
YoY Growth---29.16%111.16%-1.32%-15.55%16.56%-2.74%-2.57%-0.94%19.01%-0.55%
Dividend Yield--2.07%3.66%1.73%2.41%1.87%2.01%1.20%1.36%1.44%0.78%

Stable Growth Model (Adjusted)

(USD in Millions except Per Share Data)
Net Income To Common (M)2,074.49
(-) Cash Dividends Paid (M)343.40
(=) Cash Retained (M)1,731.09
MetricLOWBASEHIGH
Required Retention Ratio20.0%12.5%7.5%
(=) Cash Required (M)414.90259.31155.59
Cash Retained (M)1,731.091,731.091,731.09
(-) Cash Required (M)-414.90-259.31-155.59
(=) Excess Retained (M)1,316.191,471.781,575.50
(/) Shares Outstanding (M)7.667.667.66
(=) Excess Retained per Share171.76192.06205.60
LTM Dividend per Share44.8144.8144.81
(+) Excess Retained per Share171.76192.06205.60
(=) Adjusted Dividend216.57236.88250.41
WACC / Discount Rate9.82%9.82%9.82%
Growth Rate4.87%5.87%6.87%
Fair Value$4,587.08$6,346.88$9,068.02
Upside / Downside5.57%46.07%108.70%

Multi-Stage Model: Projections

(USD in Millions)
MetricTTMDec-27Dec-28Dec-29Dec-30Dec-31Terminal
Net Income (M)2,074.492,196.162,324.962,461.322,605.682,758.502,841.26
Payout Ratio16.55%31.24%45.93%60.62%75.31%90.00%92.50%
Projected Dividends (M)343.40686.141,067.901,492.091,962.352,482.652,628.16

Multi-Stage Valuation

MetricLOWBASEHIGH
WACC / Discount Rate9.82%9.82%9.82%
Growth Rate4.87%5.87%6.87%
Year 1 PV (M)618.91624.81630.71
Year 2 PV (M)868.87885.52902.33
Year 3 PV (M)1,095.041,126.671,158.90
Year 4 PV (M)1,299.051,349.321,401.02
Year 5 PV (M)1,482.441,554.481,629.30
PV of Terminal Value (M)23,023.8224,142.7425,304.75
Equity Value (M)28,388.1329,683.5431,027.01
Shares Outstanding (M)7.667.667.66
Fair Value$3,704.59$3,873.63$4,048.95
Upside / Downside-14.74%-10.85%-6.81%

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