Definitive Analysis
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Definitive Analysis

Financial Statements

Company Industry Sector

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Margins Returns Growth Rates Metrics/Ratios

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Mode

Company Industry Sector

Ticker

Industry

Sector

Hsino Tower Group Co., Ltd. (601096.SS)

Company Dividend Discount ModelIndustry: Electrical Equipment & PartsSector: Industrials

Valuation Snapshot

Stable Growth$0.84 - $1.19$1.01
Multi-Stage$1.29 - $1.41$1.35
Blended Fair Value$1.18
Current Price$4.24
Upside-72.17%
DecisionDon't Buy

Dividend History & Growth Metrics (10Y)

Metric5Y CAGR10Y CAGR202420232022202120202019
DPS-18.18%0.00%0.030.000.040.070.060.080.000.000.000.00
YoY Growth--538.04%-89.32%-42.70%31.40%-28.58%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%
Dividend Yield--0.70%0.09%2.53%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%

Stable Growth Model (Adjusted)

(USD in Millions except Per Share Data)
Net Income To Common (M)334.62
(-) Cash Dividends Paid (M)82.28
(=) Cash Retained (M)252.33
MetricLOWBASEHIGH
Required Retention Ratio20.0%12.5%7.5%
(=) Cash Required (M)66.9241.8325.10
Cash Retained (M)252.33252.33252.33
(-) Cash Required (M)-66.92-41.83-25.10
(=) Excess Retained (M)185.41210.51227.24
(/) Shares Outstanding (M)2,674.502,674.502,674.50
(=) Excess Retained per Share0.070.080.08
LTM Dividend per Share0.030.030.03
(+) Excess Retained per Share0.070.080.08
(=) Adjusted Dividend0.100.110.12
WACC / Discount Rate9.71%9.71%9.71%
Growth Rate-2.00%-1.00%0.00%
Fair Value$0.84$1.01$1.19
Upside / Downside-80.24%-76.13%-71.88%

Multi-Stage Model: Projections

(USD in Millions)
MetricTTMDec-27Dec-28Dec-29Dec-30Dec-31Terminal
Net Income (M)334.62331.27327.96324.68321.43318.22327.76
Payout Ratio24.59%37.67%50.75%63.84%76.92%90.00%92.50%
Projected Dividends (M)82.28124.80166.45207.26247.24286.39303.18

Multi-Stage Valuation

MetricLOWBASEHIGH
WACC / Discount Rate9.71%9.71%9.71%
Growth Rate-2.00%-1.00%0.00%
Year 1 PV (M)112.61113.76114.90
Year 2 PV (M)135.52138.30141.11
Year 3 PV (M)152.26156.97161.78
Year 4 PV (M)163.89170.68177.68
Year 5 PV (M)171.30180.22189.51
PV of Terminal Value (M)2,704.062,844.872,991.48
Equity Value (M)3,439.653,604.803,776.47
Shares Outstanding (M)2,674.502,674.502,674.50
Fair Value$1.29$1.35$1.41
Upside / Downside-69.67%-68.21%-66.70%

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