Definitive Analysis
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Definitive Analysis

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I-ne Co. Ltd. (4933.T)

Company Dividend Discount ModelIndustry: Household & Personal ProductsSector: Consumer Defensive

Valuation Snapshot

Stable Growth$7,353.01 - $29,186.29$19,978.85
Multi-Stage$3,485.47 - $3,816.90$3,648.14
Blended Fair Value$11,813.49
Current Price$1,629.00
Upside625.20%
DecisionBuy

Dividend History & Growth Metrics (10Y)

Metric5Y CAGR10Y CAGR202420232022202120202019
DPS23.52%0.00%12.880.000.000.000.004.480.000.000.000.00
YoY Growth--0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%-100.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%
Dividend Yield--0.80%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%

Stable Growth Model (Adjusted)

(USD in Millions except Per Share Data)
Net Income To Common (M)2,620.00
(-) Cash Dividends Paid (M)226.00
(=) Cash Retained (M)2,394.00
MetricLOWBASEHIGH
Required Retention Ratio20.0%12.5%7.5%
(=) Cash Required (M)524.00327.50196.50
Cash Retained (M)2,394.002,394.002,394.00
(-) Cash Required (M)-524.00-327.50-196.50
(=) Excess Retained (M)1,870.002,066.502,197.50
(/) Shares Outstanding (M)17.8517.8517.85
(=) Excess Retained per Share104.75115.75123.09
LTM Dividend per Share12.6612.6612.66
(+) Excess Retained per Share104.75115.75123.09
(=) Adjusted Dividend117.41128.41135.75
WACC / Discount Rate7.18%7.18%7.18%
Growth Rate5.50%6.50%7.50%
Fair Value$7,353.01$19,978.85$29,186.29
Upside / Downside351.38%1,126.45%1,691.67%

Multi-Stage Model: Projections

(USD in Millions)
MetricTTMDec-27Dec-28Dec-29Dec-30Dec-31Terminal
Net Income (M)2,620.002,790.302,971.673,164.833,370.543,589.633,697.32
Payout Ratio8.63%24.90%41.18%57.45%73.73%90.00%92.50%
Projected Dividends (M)226.00694.811,223.601,818.212,484.943,230.663,420.02

Multi-Stage Valuation

MetricLOWBASEHIGH
WACC / Discount Rate7.18%7.18%7.18%
Growth Rate5.50%6.50%7.50%
Year 1 PV (M)642.15648.23654.32
Year 2 PV (M)1,045.161,065.061,085.16
Year 3 PV (M)1,435.341,476.551,518.53
Year 4 PV (M)1,813.001,882.731,954.44
Year 5 PV (M)2,178.442,283.662,392.91
PV of Terminal Value (M)55,110.7957,772.6660,536.41
Equity Value (M)62,224.8865,128.8968,141.76
Shares Outstanding (M)17.8517.8517.85
Fair Value$3,485.47$3,648.14$3,816.90
Upside / Downside113.96%123.95%134.31%

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