DDM Analysis: 3030.SR

Valuation Snapshot

Stable Growth	$20.95 - $30.77	$25.67
Multi-Stage	$56.12 - $61.84	$58.92
Blended Fair Value	$42.30
Current Price	$39.58
Upside	6.87%
Decision	Don't Buy

Dividend History & Growth Metrics (10Y)

Metric	5Y CAGR	10Y CAGR	2024	2023	2022	2021	2020	2019	2018	2017	2016	2015
DPS	-7.16%	-10.84%	2.24	3.33	3.42	3.50	3.50	3.25	3.25	5.00	5.75	5.50
YoY Growth	-	-	-32.68%	-2.78%	-2.17%	0.00%	7.69%	0.00%	-35.00%	-13.04%	4.55%	-22.11%
Dividend Yield	-	-	4.89%	7.14%	6.11%	5.75%	5.27%	6.63%	5.56%	9.30%	9.61%	8.72%

Stable Growth Model (Adjusted)

(USD in Millions except Per Share Data)

Net Income To Common (M)	424.72
(-) Cash Dividends Paid (M)	251.03
(=) Cash Retained (M)	173.69

Metric	LOW	BASE	HIGH
Required Retention Ratio	20.0%	12.5%	7.5%
(=) Cash Required (M)	84.94	53.09	31.85
Cash Retained (M)	173.69	173.69	173.69
(-) Cash Required (M)	-84.94	-53.09	-31.85
(=) Excess Retained (M)	88.75	120.60	141.84
(/) Shares Outstanding (M)	153.00	153.00	153.00
(=) Excess Retained per Share	0.58	0.79	0.93
LTM Dividend per Share	1.64	1.64	1.64
(+) Excess Retained per Share	0.58	0.79	0.93
(=) Adjusted Dividend	2.22	2.43	2.57
WACC / Discount Rate	6.32%	6.32%	6.32%
Growth Rate	-3.87%	-2.87%	-1.87%
Fair Value	$20.95	$25.67	$30.77
Upside / Downside	-47.06%	-35.13%	-22.26%

Multi-Stage Model: Projections

(USD in Millions)

Metric	TTM	Dec-27	Dec-28	Dec-29	Dec-30	Dec-31	Terminal
Net Income (M)	424.72	412.52	400.67	389.16	377.98	367.12	378.13
Payout Ratio	59.10%	65.28%	71.46%	77.64%	83.82%	90.00%	92.50%
Projected Dividends (M)	251.03	269.31	286.33	302.15	316.82	330.41	349.77

Multi-Stage Valuation

Metric	LOW	BASE	HIGH
WACC / Discount Rate	6.32%	6.32%	6.32%
Growth Rate	-3.87%	-2.87%	-1.87%
Year 1 PV (M)	250.70	253.31	255.92
Year 2 PV (M)	248.13	253.32	258.56
Year 3 PV (M)	243.75	251.43	259.28
Year 4 PV (M)	237.93	247.98	258.36
Year 5 PV (M)	230.99	243.25	256.04
PV of Terminal Value (M)	7,374.26	7,765.90	8,173.99
Equity Value (M)	8,585.75	9,015.19	9,462.14
Shares Outstanding (M)	153.00	153.00	153.00
Fair Value	$56.12	$58.92	$61.84
Upside / Downside	41.78%	48.87%	56.25%

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Saudi Cement Company (3030.SR)

Valuation Snapshot

Dividend History & Growth Metrics (10Y)

Stable Growth Model (Adjusted)

Multi-Stage Model: Projections

Multi-Stage Valuation

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