Definitive Analysis
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Definitive Analysis

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Sector

Sharetronic Data Technology Co., Ltd. (300857.SZ)

Company Dividend Discount ModelIndustry: Consumer ElectronicsSector: Technology

Valuation Snapshot

Stable Growth$119.98 - $675.27$227.89
Multi-Stage$68.79 - $75.26$71.97
Blended Fair Value$149.93
Current Price$181.99
Upside-17.62%
DecisionDon't Buy

Dividend History & Growth Metrics (10Y)

Metric5Y CAGR10Y CAGR202420232022202120202019201820172016
DPS59.28%0.00%0.310.060.060.040.040.030.030.030.040.00
YoY Growth--421.83%1.17%40.00%12.98%22.76%13.17%-9.25%-25.25%0.00%0.00%
Dividend Yield--0.37%0.10%0.24%0.18%0.14%0.23%0.20%0.00%0.00%0.00%

Stable Growth Model (Adjusted)

(USD in Millions except Per Share Data)
Net Income To Common (M)832.69
(-) Cash Dividends Paid (M)150.42
(=) Cash Retained (M)682.27
MetricLOWBASEHIGH
Required Retention Ratio20.0%12.5%7.5%
(=) Cash Required (M)166.54104.0962.45
Cash Retained (M)682.27682.27682.27
(-) Cash Required (M)-166.54-104.09-62.45
(=) Excess Retained (M)515.73578.18619.82
(/) Shares Outstanding (M)245.24245.24245.24
(=) Excess Retained per Share2.102.362.53
LTM Dividend per Share0.610.610.61
(+) Excess Retained per Share2.102.362.53
(=) Adjusted Dividend2.722.973.14
WACC / Discount Rate7.89%7.89%7.89%
Growth Rate5.50%6.50%7.50%
Fair Value$119.98$227.89$675.27
Upside / Downside-34.07%25.22%271.05%

Multi-Stage Model: Projections

(USD in Millions)
MetricTTMDec-27Dec-28Dec-29Dec-30Dec-31Terminal
Net Income (M)832.69886.81944.461,005.851,071.231,140.861,175.08
Payout Ratio18.06%32.45%46.84%61.23%75.61%90.00%92.50%
Projected Dividends (M)150.42287.78442.37615.84809.981,026.771,086.95

Multi-Stage Valuation

MetricLOWBASEHIGH
WACC / Discount Rate7.89%7.89%7.89%
Growth Rate5.50%6.50%7.50%
Year 1 PV (M)264.24266.74269.25
Year 2 PV (M)372.94380.04387.22
Year 3 PV (M)476.70490.39504.33
Year 4 PV (M)575.69597.83620.60
Year 5 PV (M)670.06702.42736.03
PV of Terminal Value (M)14,510.4515,211.3115,938.99
Equity Value (M)16,870.0817,648.7318,456.41
Shares Outstanding (M)245.24245.24245.24
Fair Value$68.79$71.97$75.26
Upside / Downside-62.20%-60.46%-58.65%

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