Definitive Analysis
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Definitive Analysis

Financial Statements

Company Industry Sector

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Company Industry Sector

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Industry

Sector

Jiangsu Ankura Intelligent Power Co., Ltd. (300617.SZ)

Company Dividend Discount ModelIndustry: Electrical Equipment & PartsSector: Industrials

Valuation Snapshot

Stable Growth$13.96 - $29.67$19.83
Multi-Stage$10.47 - $11.42$10.94
Blended Fair Value$15.38
Current Price$36.74
Upside-58.13%
DecisionDon't Buy

Dividend History & Growth Metrics (10Y)

Metric5Y CAGR10Y CAGR2024202320222021202020192018201720162015
DPS-5.41%4.77%0.230.060.590.430.300.300.200.080.010.00
YoY Growth--291.54%-90.23%37.27%44.30%0.00%46.69%150.00%1,472.33%32.51%-97.25%
Dividend Yield--0.75%0.21%1.66%0.96%0.75%1.04%0.98%0.32%0.01%0.02%

Stable Growth Model (Adjusted)

(USD in Millions except Per Share Data)
Net Income To Common (M)121.19
(-) Cash Dividends Paid (M)47.60
(=) Cash Retained (M)73.59
MetricLOWBASEHIGH
Required Retention Ratio20.0%12.5%7.5%
(=) Cash Required (M)24.2415.159.09
Cash Retained (M)73.5973.5973.59
(-) Cash Required (M)-24.24-15.15-9.09
(=) Excess Retained (M)49.3558.4464.50
(/) Shares Outstanding (M)163.39163.39163.39
(=) Excess Retained per Share0.300.360.39
LTM Dividend per Share0.290.290.29
(+) Excess Retained per Share0.300.360.39
(=) Adjusted Dividend0.590.650.69
WACC / Discount Rate9.99%9.99%9.99%
Growth Rate5.50%6.50%7.50%
Fair Value$13.96$19.83$29.67
Upside / Downside-62.01%-46.03%-19.24%

Multi-Stage Model: Projections

(USD in Millions)
MetricTTMDec-27Dec-28Dec-29Dec-30Dec-31Terminal
Net Income (M)121.19129.06137.45146.39155.90166.04171.02
Payout Ratio39.28%49.42%59.57%69.71%79.86%90.00%92.50%
Projected Dividends (M)47.6063.7881.87102.05124.50149.43158.19

Multi-Stage Valuation

MetricLOWBASEHIGH
WACC / Discount Rate9.99%9.99%9.99%
Growth Rate5.50%6.50%7.50%
Year 1 PV (M)57.4557.9958.54
Year 2 PV (M)66.4267.6868.96
Year 3 PV (M)74.5676.7078.88
Year 4 PV (M)81.9385.0888.32
Year 5 PV (M)88.5792.8597.29
PV of Terminal Value (M)1,342.201,407.031,474.34
Equity Value (M)1,711.121,787.331,866.32
Shares Outstanding (M)163.39163.39163.39
Fair Value$10.47$10.94$11.42
Upside / Downside-71.49%-70.23%-68.91%

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