Definitive Analysis
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Definitive Analysis

Financial Statements

Ticker

Industry

Sector

DongHua Testing Technology Co. , Ltd. (300354.SZ)

Company Dividend Discount ModelIndustry: Hardware, Equipment & PartsSector: Technology

Valuation Snapshot

Stable Growth$16.89 - $35.86$23.99
Multi-Stage$12.36 - $13.50$12.92
Blended Fair Value$18.45
Current Price$48.29
Upside-61.78%
DecisionDon't Buy

Dividend History & Growth Metrics (10Y)

Metric5Y CAGR10Y CAGR2024202320222021202020192018201720162015
DPS34.08%10.46%0.130.180.180.110.050.030.010.010.020.02
YoY Growth---26.46%1.06%59.03%120.00%66.67%166.91%124.75%-67.07%-15.63%-62.57%
Dividend Yield--0.30%0.39%0.40%0.36%0.37%0.27%0.10%0.04%0.07%0.07%

Stable Growth Model (Adjusted)

(USD in Millions except Per Share Data)
Net Income To Common (M)124.09
(-) Cash Dividends Paid (M)24.68
(=) Cash Retained (M)99.41
MetricLOWBASEHIGH
Required Retention Ratio20.0%12.5%7.5%
(=) Cash Required (M)24.8215.519.31
Cash Retained (M)99.4199.4199.41
(-) Cash Required (M)-24.82-15.51-9.31
(=) Excess Retained (M)74.5983.9090.10
(/) Shares Outstanding (M)137.95137.95137.95
(=) Excess Retained per Share0.540.610.65
LTM Dividend per Share0.180.180.18
(+) Excess Retained per Share0.540.610.65
(=) Adjusted Dividend0.720.790.83
WACC / Discount Rate9.99%9.99%9.99%
Growth Rate5.50%6.50%7.50%
Fair Value$16.89$23.99$35.86
Upside / Downside-65.02%-50.33%-25.74%

Multi-Stage Model: Projections

(USD in Millions)
MetricTTMDec-27Dec-28Dec-29Dec-30Dec-31Terminal
Net Income (M)124.09132.15140.74149.89159.64170.01175.11
Payout Ratio19.89%33.91%47.93%61.95%75.98%90.00%92.50%
Projected Dividends (M)24.6844.8167.4692.87121.29153.01161.98

Multi-Stage Valuation

MetricLOWBASEHIGH
WACC / Discount Rate9.99%9.99%9.99%
Growth Rate5.50%6.50%7.50%
Year 1 PV (M)40.3640.7441.12
Year 2 PV (M)54.7255.7656.81
Year 3 PV (M)67.8369.7871.77
Year 4 PV (M)79.7982.8686.01
Year 5 PV (M)90.6595.0399.58
PV of Terminal Value (M)1,372.071,438.341,507.15
Equity Value (M)1,705.421,782.511,862.44
Shares Outstanding (M)137.95137.95137.95
Fair Value$12.36$12.92$13.50
Upside / Downside-74.40%-73.24%-72.04%

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