DDM Analysis: 300279.SZ

Valuation Snapshot

Stable Growth	$4.13 - $18.55	$7.22
Multi-Stage	$2.57 - $2.81	$2.69
Blended Fair Value	$4.95
Current Price	$7.56
Upside	-34.47%
Decision	Don't Buy

Dividend History & Growth Metrics (10Y)

Metric	5Y CAGR	10Y CAGR	2024	2023	2022	2021	2020	2019	2018	2017	2016	2015
DPS	-14.00%	7.47%	0.04	0.06	0.05	0.05	0.07	0.09	0.11	0.09	0.07	0.05
YoY Growth	-	-	-33.85%	18.37%	0.73%	-22.97%	-22.60%	-23.10%	24.21%	34.47%	24.37%	173.66%
Dividend Yield	-	-	0.65%	1.20%	0.92%	0.73%	1.43%	1.51%	1.64%	0.70%	0.49%	0.47%

Stable Growth Model (Adjusted)

(USD in Millions except Per Share Data)

Net Income To Common (M)	64.88
(-) Cash Dividends Paid (M)	11.58
(=) Cash Retained (M)	53.30

Metric	LOW	BASE	HIGH
Required Retention Ratio	20.0%	12.5%	7.5%
(=) Cash Required (M)	12.98	8.11	4.87
Cash Retained (M)	53.30	53.30	53.30
(-) Cash Required (M)	-12.98	-8.11	-4.87
(=) Excess Retained (M)	40.33	45.19	48.44
(/) Shares Outstanding (M)	489.19	489.19	489.19
(=) Excess Retained per Share	0.08	0.09	0.10
LTM Dividend per Share	0.02	0.02	0.02
(+) Excess Retained per Share	0.08	0.09	0.10
(=) Adjusted Dividend	0.11	0.12	0.12
WACC / Discount Rate	8.06%	8.06%	8.06%
Growth Rate	5.35%	6.35%	7.35%
Fair Value	$4.13	$7.22	$18.55
Upside / Downside	-45.43%	-4.52%	145.42%

Multi-Stage Model: Projections

(USD in Millions)

Metric	TTM	Dec-27	Dec-28	Dec-29	Dec-30	Dec-31	Terminal
Net Income (M)	64.88	69.00	73.39	78.05	83.00	88.27	90.92
Payout Ratio	17.85%	32.28%	46.71%	61.14%	75.57%	90.00%	92.50%
Projected Dividends (M)	11.58	22.27	34.28	47.72	62.73	79.45	84.10

Multi-Stage Valuation

Metric	LOW	BASE	HIGH
WACC / Discount Rate	8.06%	8.06%	8.06%
Growth Rate	5.35%	6.35%	7.35%
Year 1 PV (M)	20.42	20.61	20.81
Year 2 PV (M)	28.81	29.35	29.91
Year 3 PV (M)	36.76	37.82	38.89
Year 4 PV (M)	44.30	46.00	47.76
Year 5 PV (M)	51.43	53.92	56.50
PV of Terminal Value (M)	1,075.96	1,128.00	1,182.04
Equity Value (M)	1,257.67	1,315.70	1,375.91
Shares Outstanding (M)	489.19	489.19	489.19
Fair Value	$2.57	$2.69	$2.81
Upside / Downside	-65.99%	-64.42%	-62.80%

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Wuxi Hodgen Technology Co., Ltd. (300279.SZ)

Valuation Snapshot

Dividend History & Growth Metrics (10Y)

Stable Growth Model (Adjusted)

Multi-Stage Model: Projections

Multi-Stage Valuation

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