DDM Analysis: 300254.SZ

Valuation Snapshot

Stable Growth	$1.00 - $1.68	$1.30
Multi-Stage	$1.61 - $1.76	$1.68
Blended Fair Value	$1.49
Current Price	$10.58
Upside	-85.91%
Decision	Don't Buy

Dividend History & Growth Metrics (10Y)

Metric	5Y CAGR	10Y CAGR	2024	2023	2022	2021	2020	2019	2018	2017	2016	2015
DPS	24.22%	-0.82%	0.05	0.05	0.05	0.06	0.08	0.02	0.04	0.04	0.04	0.05
YoY Growth	-	-	-7.45%	11.85%	-18.88%	-29.53%	399.80%	-60.00%	0.00%	20.00%	-35.13%	0.00%
Dividend Yield	-	-	0.52%	0.50%	0.73%	0.61%	1.48%	0.23%	0.48%	0.43%	0.19%	0.30%

Stable Growth Model (Adjusted)

(USD in Millions except Per Share Data)

Net Income To Common (M)	20.36
(-) Cash Dividends Paid (M)	13.49
(=) Cash Retained (M)	6.87

Metric	LOW	BASE	HIGH
Required Retention Ratio	20.0%	12.5%	7.5%
(=) Cash Required (M)	4.07	2.55	1.53
Cash Retained (M)	6.87	6.87	6.87
(-) Cash Required (M)	-4.07	-2.55	-1.53
(=) Excess Retained (M)	2.80	4.33	5.34
(/) Shares Outstanding (M)	245.21	245.21	245.21
(=) Excess Retained per Share	0.01	0.02	0.02
LTM Dividend per Share	0.06	0.06	0.06
(+) Excess Retained per Share	0.01	0.02	0.02
(=) Adjusted Dividend	0.07	0.07	0.08
WACC / Discount Rate	7.31%	7.31%	7.31%
Growth Rate	0.62%	1.62%	2.62%
Fair Value	$1.00	$1.30	$1.68
Upside / Downside	-90.55%	-87.72%	-84.10%

Multi-Stage Model: Projections

(USD in Millions)

Metric	TTM	Dec-27	Dec-28	Dec-29	Dec-30	Dec-31	Terminal
Net Income (M)	20.36	20.69	21.03	21.37	21.72	22.07	22.73
Payout Ratio	66.26%	71.00%	75.75%	80.50%	85.25%	90.00%	92.50%
Projected Dividends (M)	13.49	14.69	15.93	17.20	18.51	19.86	21.03

Multi-Stage Valuation

Metric	LOW	BASE	HIGH
WACC / Discount Rate	7.31%	7.31%	7.31%
Growth Rate	0.62%	1.62%	2.62%
Year 1 PV (M)	13.56	13.69	13.83
Year 2 PV (M)	13.56	13.84	14.11
Year 3 PV (M)	13.52	13.92	14.34
Year 4 PV (M)	13.42	13.96	14.52
Year 5 PV (M)	13.29	13.96	14.66
PV of Terminal Value (M)	326.72	343.29	360.51
Equity Value (M)	394.07	412.66	431.97
Shares Outstanding (M)	245.21	245.21	245.21
Fair Value	$1.61	$1.68	$1.76
Upside / Downside	-84.81%	-84.09%	-83.35%

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ShanXi C&Y Pharmaceutical Group Co., Ltd. (300254.SZ)

Valuation Snapshot

Dividend History & Growth Metrics (10Y)

Stable Growth Model (Adjusted)

Multi-Stage Model: Projections

Multi-Stage Valuation

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