DDM Analysis: 1285.HK

Valuation Snapshot

Stable Growth	$3.38 - $6.08	$4.51
Multi-Stage	$6.09 - $6.69	$6.38
Blended Fair Value	$5.45
Current Price	$0.89
Upside	509.54%
Decision	Buy

Dividend History & Growth Metrics (10Y)

Metric	5Y CAGR	10Y CAGR	2024	2023	2022	2021	2020	2019	2018	2017	2016	2015
DPS	0.78%	3.98%	0.09	0.04	0.04	0.12	0.04	0.09	0.13	0.13	0.13	0.05
YoY Growth	-	-	107.59%	2.20%	-65.54%	178.15%	-48.88%	-30.12%	-5.48%	4.50%	167.20%	-22.96%
Dividend Yield	-	-	8.43%	3.05%	4.91%	10.93%	3.39%	6.30%	7.94%	8.40%	4.74%	1.42%

Stable Growth Model (Adjusted)

(USD in Millions except Per Share Data)

Net Income To Common (M)	101.40
(-) Cash Dividends Paid (M)	56.01
(=) Cash Retained (M)	45.38

Metric	LOW	BASE	HIGH
Required Retention Ratio	20.0%	12.5%	7.5%
(=) Cash Required (M)	20.28	12.67	7.60
Cash Retained (M)	45.38	45.38	45.38
(-) Cash Required (M)	-20.28	-12.67	-7.60
(=) Excess Retained (M)	25.10	32.71	37.78
(/) Shares Outstanding (M)	415.00	415.00	415.00
(=) Excess Retained per Share	0.06	0.08	0.09
LTM Dividend per Share	0.13	0.13	0.13
(+) Excess Retained per Share	0.06	0.08	0.09
(=) Adjusted Dividend	0.20	0.21	0.23
WACC / Discount Rate	6.31%	6.31%	6.31%
Growth Rate	0.50%	1.50%	2.50%
Fair Value	$3.38	$4.51	$6.08
Upside / Downside	278.37%	404.89%	580.56%

Multi-Stage Model: Projections

(USD in Millions)

Metric	TTM	Dec-27	Dec-28	Dec-29	Dec-30	Dec-31	Terminal
Net Income (M)	101.40	102.92	104.46	106.03	107.63	109.24	112.52
Payout Ratio	55.24%	62.19%	69.14%	76.10%	83.05%	90.00%	92.50%
Projected Dividends (M)	56.01	64.01	72.23	80.69	89.38	98.32	104.08

Multi-Stage Valuation

Metric	LOW	BASE	HIGH
WACC / Discount Rate	6.31%	6.31%	6.31%
Growth Rate	0.50%	1.50%	2.50%
Year 1 PV (M)	59.62	60.21	60.80
Year 2 PV (M)	62.66	63.91	65.18
Year 3 PV (M)	65.19	67.16	69.16
Year 4 PV (M)	67.26	69.98	72.78
Year 5 PV (M)	68.91	72.41	76.04
PV of Terminal Value (M)	2,204.04	2,315.89	2,432.24
Equity Value (M)	2,527.67	2,649.55	2,776.20
Shares Outstanding (M)	415.00	415.00	415.00
Fair Value	$6.09	$6.38	$6.69
Upside / Downside	581.32%	614.18%	648.32%

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Jiashili Group Limited (1285.HK)

Valuation Snapshot

Dividend History & Growth Metrics (10Y)

Stable Growth Model (Adjusted)

Multi-Stage Model: Projections

Multi-Stage Valuation

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