Definitive Analysis
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Definitive Analysis

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LIG Nex1 Co., Ltd. (079550.KS)

Company Dividend Discount ModelIndustry: Aerospace & DefenseSector: Industrials

Valuation Snapshot

Stable Growth$407,503.35 - $1,550,547.99$687,108.39
Multi-Stage$254,408.94 - $278,231.61$266,102.90
Blended Fair Value$476,605.65
Current Price$540,000.00
Upside-11.74%
DecisionDon't Buy

Dividend History & Growth Metrics (10Y)

Metric5Y CAGR10Y CAGR2024202320222021202020192018201720162015
DPS31.04%12.23%1,949.791,499.841,199.87894.77605.59504.66504.66948.77948.77578.07
YoY Growth--30.00%25.00%34.10%47.75%20.00%0.00%-46.81%0.00%64.13%-5.97%
Dividend Yield--0.79%0.84%1.66%1.24%1.51%2.61%1.27%1.97%1.21%0.55%

Stable Growth Model (Adjusted)

(USD in Millions except Per Share Data)
Net Income To Common (M)304,883.10
(-) Cash Dividends Paid (M)52,306.46
(=) Cash Retained (M)252,576.64
MetricLOWBASEHIGH
Required Retention Ratio20.0%12.5%7.5%
(=) Cash Required (M)60,976.6238,110.3922,866.23
Cash Retained (M)252,576.64252,576.64252,576.64
(-) Cash Required (M)-60,976.62-38,110.39-22,866.23
(=) Excess Retained (M)191,600.02214,466.25229,710.41
(/) Shares Outstanding (M)21.8021.8021.80
(=) Excess Retained per Share8,790.309,839.3710,538.75
LTM Dividend per Share2,399.742,399.742,399.74
(+) Excess Retained per Share8,790.309,839.3710,538.75
(=) Adjusted Dividend11,190.0412,239.1112,938.48
WACC / Discount Rate8.40%8.40%8.40%
Growth Rate5.50%6.50%7.50%
Fair Value$407,503.35$687,108.39$1,550,547.99
Upside / Downside-24.54%27.24%187.14%

Multi-Stage Model: Projections

(USD in Millions)
MetricTTMDec-27Dec-28Dec-29Dec-30Dec-31Terminal
Net Income (M)304,883.10324,700.50345,806.04368,283.43392,221.85417,716.27430,247.76
Payout Ratio17.16%31.72%46.29%60.86%75.43%90.00%92.50%
Projected Dividends (M)52,306.46103,011.20160,086.55224,146.48295,857.84375,944.65397,979.18

Multi-Stage Valuation

MetricLOWBASEHIGH
WACC / Discount Rate8.40%8.40%8.40%
Growth Rate5.50%6.50%7.50%
Year 1 PV (M)94,139.0795,031.3895,923.70
Year 2 PV (M)133,698.27136,244.85138,815.45
Year 3 PV (M)171,075.71175,986.68180,990.74
Year 4 PV (M)206,359.74214,295.75222,458.49
Year 5 PV (M)239,635.56251,210.05263,227.52
PV of Terminal Value (M)4,700,379.694,927,409.795,163,128.86
Equity Value (M)5,545,288.045,800,178.496,064,544.76
Shares Outstanding (M)21.8021.8021.80
Fair Value$254,408.94$266,102.90$278,231.61
Upside / Downside-52.89%-50.72%-48.48%

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