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Definitive Analysis

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Ktcs Corporation (058850.KS)

Company Dividend Discount ModelIndustry: Specialty Business ServicesSector: Industrials

Valuation Snapshot

Stable Growth$6,203.01 - $9,646.70$7,794.28
Multi-Stage$13,547.60 - $14,931.80$14,226.03
Blended Fair Value$11,010.16
Current Price$3,005.00
Upside266.39%
DecisionBuy

Dividend History & Growth Metrics (10Y)

Metric5Y CAGR10Y CAGR2024202320222021202020192018201720162015
DPS0.16%-1.79%100.10120.12105.9185.6388.2699.2988.2696.87110.33135.15
YoY Growth---16.67%13.42%23.68%-2.97%-11.11%12.50%-8.88%-12.20%-18.37%12.67%
Dividend Yield--4.05%3.42%2.71%3.58%3.02%6.47%3.76%4.27%4.32%4.18%

Stable Growth Model (Adjusted)

(USD in Millions except Per Share Data)
Net Income To Common (M)24,806.49
(-) Cash Dividends Paid (M)3,793.87
(=) Cash Retained (M)21,012.62
MetricLOWBASEHIGH
Required Retention Ratio20.0%12.5%7.5%
(=) Cash Required (M)4,961.303,100.811,860.49
Cash Retained (M)21,012.6221,012.6221,012.62
(-) Cash Required (M)-4,961.30-3,100.81-1,860.49
(=) Excess Retained (M)16,051.3217,911.8019,152.13
(/) Shares Outstanding (M)37.9037.9037.90
(=) Excess Retained per Share423.52472.61505.34
LTM Dividend per Share100.10100.10100.10
(+) Excess Retained per Share423.52472.61505.34
(=) Adjusted Dividend523.62572.71605.44
WACC / Discount Rate6.45%6.45%6.45%
Growth Rate-1.84%-0.84%0.16%
Fair Value$6,203.01$7,794.28$9,646.70
Upside / Downside106.42%159.38%221.02%

Multi-Stage Model: Projections

(USD in Millions)
MetricTTMDec-27Dec-28Dec-29Dec-30Dec-31Terminal
Net Income (M)24,806.4924,598.7724,392.7924,188.5423,985.9923,785.1524,498.70
Payout Ratio15.29%30.24%45.18%60.12%75.06%90.00%92.50%
Projected Dividends (M)3,793.877,437.4611,019.7714,541.5618,003.5921,406.6322,661.30

Multi-Stage Valuation

MetricLOWBASEHIGH
WACC / Discount Rate6.45%6.45%6.45%
Growth Rate-1.84%-0.84%0.16%
Year 1 PV (M)6,916.426,986.887,057.34
Year 2 PV (M)9,529.849,724.999,922.12
Year 3 PV (M)11,694.4712,055.5312,423.94
Year 4 PV (M)13,464.3614,021.4514,595.66
Year 5 PV (M)14,887.8315,661.7616,467.55
PV of Terminal Value (M)456,957.05480,711.64505,444.00
Equity Value (M)513,449.96539,162.24565,910.60
Shares Outstanding (M)37.9037.9037.90
Fair Value$13,547.60$14,226.03$14,931.80
Upside / Downside350.84%373.41%396.90%

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