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Definitive Analysis

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HMM Co.,Ltd (011200.KS)

Company Dividend Discount ModelIndustry: Marine ShippingSector: Industrials

Valuation Snapshot

Stable Growth$196,812.54 - $467,226.91$437,860.04
Multi-Stage$68,033.82 - $74,501.91$71,208.31
Blended Fair Value$254,534.17
Current Price$20,050.00
Upside1,169.50%
DecisionBuy

Dividend History & Growth Metrics (10Y)

Metric5Y CAGR10Y CAGR2024202320222021202020192018201720162015
DPS57.50%80.86%515.57573.24286.5693.970.0253.1919.5014.561.381.38
YoY Growth---10.06%100.04%204.96%384,772.00%-99.95%172.77%33.93%957.45%0.00%0.00%
Dividend Yield--2.64%3.61%1.41%0.32%0.00%1.72%0.53%0.33%0.02%0.01%

Stable Growth Model (Adjusted)

(USD in Millions except Per Share Data)
Net Income To Common (M)2,405,633.00
(-) Cash Dividends Paid (M)549,368.00
(=) Cash Retained (M)1,856,265.00
MetricLOWBASEHIGH
Required Retention Ratio20.0%12.5%7.5%
(=) Cash Required (M)481,126.60300,704.13180,422.48
Cash Retained (M)1,856,265.001,856,265.001,856,265.00
(-) Cash Required (M)-481,126.60-300,704.13-180,422.48
(=) Excess Retained (M)1,375,138.401,555,560.881,675,842.53
(/) Shares Outstanding (M)1,023.961,023.961,023.96
(=) Excess Retained per Share1,342.961,519.171,636.63
LTM Dividend per Share536.51536.51536.51
(+) Excess Retained per Share1,342.961,519.171,636.63
(=) Adjusted Dividend1,879.482,055.682,173.15
WACC / Discount Rate6.51%6.51%6.51%
Growth Rate5.50%6.50%7.50%
Fair Value$196,812.54$437,860.04$467,226.91
Upside / Downside881.61%2,083.84%2,230.31%

Multi-Stage Model: Projections

(USD in Millions)
MetricTTMDec-27Dec-28Dec-29Dec-30Dec-31Terminal
Net Income (M)2,405,633.002,561,999.152,728,529.092,905,883.483,094,765.913,295,925.693,394,803.46
Payout Ratio22.84%36.27%49.70%63.13%76.57%90.00%92.50%
Projected Dividends (M)549,368.00929,221.381,356,134.621,834,620.632,369,580.142,966,333.123,140,193.20

Multi-Stage Valuation

MetricLOWBASEHIGH
WACC / Discount Rate6.51%6.51%6.51%
Growth Rate5.50%6.50%7.50%
Year 1 PV (M)864,255.06872,447.05880,639.04
Year 2 PV (M)1,173,135.761,195,480.701,218,036.44
Year 3 PV (M)1,476,095.561,518,468.961,561,645.62
Year 4 PV (M)1,773,218.851,841,411.841,911,553.06
Year 5 PV (M)2,064,588.922,164,309.332,267,846.29
PV of Terminal Value (M)62,312,414.6665,322,127.5868,447,029.31
Equity Value (M)69,663,708.8072,914,245.4676,286,749.76
Shares Outstanding (M)1,023.961,023.961,023.96
Fair Value$68,033.82$71,208.31$74,501.91
Upside / Downside239.32%255.15%271.58%

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