Definitive Analysis
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Definitive Analysis

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Sector

Genbyte Technology Inc. (003028.SZ)

Company Dividend Discount ModelIndustry: Hardware, Equipment & PartsSector: Technology

Valuation Snapshot

Stable Growth$160.66 - $226.68$212.28
Multi-Stage$117.33 - $129.65$123.37
Blended Fair Value$167.82
Current Price$32.60
Upside414.79%
DecisionBuy

Dividend History & Growth Metrics (10Y)

Metric5Y CAGR10Y CAGR202420232022202120202019201820172016
DPS-3.99%0.00%0.420.280.280.280.780.520.201.010.590.00
YoY Growth--51.28%-0.51%1.64%-64.29%49.33%164.33%-80.59%70.98%0.00%0.00%
Dividend Yield--1.16%0.95%0.77%1.07%2.43%2.16%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%

Stable Growth Model (Adjusted)

(USD in Millions except Per Share Data)
Net Income To Common (M)145.18
(-) Cash Dividends Paid (M)51.22
(=) Cash Retained (M)93.96
MetricLOWBASEHIGH
Required Retention Ratio20.0%12.5%7.5%
(=) Cash Required (M)29.0418.1510.89
Cash Retained (M)93.9693.9693.96
(-) Cash Required (M)-29.04-18.15-10.89
(=) Excess Retained (M)64.9275.8183.07
(/) Shares Outstanding (M)118.49118.49118.49
(=) Excess Retained per Share0.550.640.70
LTM Dividend per Share0.430.430.43
(+) Excess Retained per Share0.550.640.70
(=) Adjusted Dividend0.981.071.13
WACC / Discount Rate-1.40%-1.40%-1.40%
Growth Rate-2.00%-1.00%0.00%
Fair Value$160.66$212.28$226.68
Upside / Downside392.81%551.16%595.32%

Multi-Stage Model: Projections

(USD in Millions)
MetricTTMDec-27Dec-28Dec-29Dec-30Dec-31Terminal
Net Income (M)145.18143.73142.29140.87139.46138.06142.20
Payout Ratio35.28%46.22%57.17%68.11%79.06%90.00%92.50%
Projected Dividends (M)51.2266.4481.3495.95110.25124.26131.54

Multi-Stage Valuation

MetricLOWBASEHIGH
WACC / Discount Rate-1.40%-1.40%-1.40%
Growth Rate-2.00%-1.00%0.00%
Year 1 PV (M)66.7067.3868.06
Year 2 PV (M)81.9983.6785.37
Year 3 PV (M)97.09100.10103.16
Year 4 PV (M)112.01116.65121.44
Year 5 PV (M)126.75133.35140.22
PV of Terminal Value (M)13,417.4214,116.1014,843.58
Equity Value (M)13,901.9614,617.2515,361.83
Shares Outstanding (M)118.49118.49118.49
Fair Value$117.33$123.37$129.65
Upside / Downside259.91%278.43%297.70%

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