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Definitive Analysis

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Asia Holdings Co., Ltd. (002030.KS)

Company Dividend Discount ModelIndustry: Construction MaterialsSector: Basic Materials

Valuation Snapshot

Stable Growth$1,364,230.60 - $5,102,337.08$4,072,485.27
Multi-Stage$774,739.94 - $848,556.15$810,964.78
Blended Fair Value$2,441,725.02
Current Price$350,500.00
Upside596.64%
DecisionBuy

Dividend History & Growth Metrics (10Y)

Metric5Y CAGR10Y CAGR2024202320222021202020192018201720162015
DPS17.26%33.79%12,754.4111,016.108,870.955,603.005,326.515,753.774,432.657,376.813,224.694,467.38
YoY Growth--15.78%24.18%58.32%5.19%-7.43%29.80%-39.91%128.76%-27.82%543.44%
Dividend Yield--4.91%4.61%6.21%3.54%4.40%7.69%3.41%6.20%3.31%4.21%

Stable Growth Model (Adjusted)

(USD in Millions except Per Share Data)
Net Income To Common (M)42,935.28
(-) Cash Dividends Paid (M)17,183.05
(=) Cash Retained (M)25,752.23
MetricLOWBASEHIGH
Required Retention Ratio20.0%12.5%7.5%
(=) Cash Required (M)8,587.065,366.913,220.15
Cash Retained (M)25,752.2325,752.2325,752.23
(-) Cash Required (M)-8,587.06-5,366.91-3,220.15
(=) Excess Retained (M)17,165.1820,385.3222,532.09
(/) Shares Outstanding (M)1.661.661.66
(=) Excess Retained per Share10,331.1312,269.2313,561.29
LTM Dividend per Share10,341.8910,341.8910,341.89
(+) Excess Retained per Share10,331.1312,269.2313,561.29
(=) Adjusted Dividend20,673.0222,611.1223,903.18
WACC / Discount Rate6.32%6.32%6.32%
Growth Rate4.73%5.73%6.73%
Fair Value$1,364,230.60$4,072,485.27$5,102,337.08
Upside / Downside289.22%1,061.91%1,355.73%

Multi-Stage Model: Projections

(USD in Millions)
MetricTTMDec-27Dec-28Dec-29Dec-30Dec-31Terminal
Net Income (M)42,935.2845,395.1547,995.9550,745.7553,653.1056,727.0258,428.83
Payout Ratio40.02%50.02%60.01%70.01%80.00%90.00%92.50%
Projected Dividends (M)17,183.0522,705.1428,803.5635,526.2542,924.7251,054.3254,046.67

Multi-Stage Valuation

MetricLOWBASEHIGH
WACC / Discount Rate6.32%6.32%6.32%
Growth Rate4.73%5.73%6.73%
Year 1 PV (M)21,154.2321,356.2221,558.21
Year 2 PV (M)25,003.0225,482.7825,967.10
Year 3 PV (M)28,732.1929,563.1230,409.91
Year 4 PV (M)32,344.4633,597.6234,886.85
Year 5 PV (M)35,842.4837,586.6739,398.11
PV of Terminal Value (M)1,144,154.051,199,831.591,257,655.87
Equity Value (M)1,287,230.421,347,417.991,409,876.04
Shares Outstanding (M)1.661.661.66
Fair Value$774,739.94$810,964.78$848,556.15
Upside / Downside121.04%131.37%142.10%

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