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Ralliant Corp. (RAL)

Company Dividend Discount ModelIndustry: Aerospace & DefenseSector: Industrials

Valuation Snapshot

Stable Growth$12.36 - $17.68$14.97
Multi-Stage$18.77 - $20.66$19.70
Blended Fair Value$17.33
Current Price$43.15
Upside-59.83%
DecisionDon't Buy

Dividend History & Growth Metrics (10Y)

Metric5Y CAGR10Y CAGR202420232022
DPS0.00%0.00%0.000.000.000.000.000.000.000.000.000.00
YoY Growth--0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%
Dividend Yield--0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%

Stable Growth Model (Adjusted)

(USD in Millions except Per Share Data)
Net Income To Common (M)203.30
(-) Cash Dividends Paid (M)5.60
(=) Cash Retained (M)197.70
MetricLOWBASEHIGH
Required Retention Ratio20.0%12.5%7.5%
(=) Cash Required (M)40.6625.4115.25
Cash Retained (M)197.70197.70197.70
(-) Cash Required (M)-40.66-25.41-15.25
(=) Excess Retained (M)157.04172.29182.45
(/) Shares Outstanding (M)113.02113.02113.02
(=) Excess Retained per Share1.391.521.61
LTM Dividend per Share0.050.050.05
(+) Excess Retained per Share1.391.521.61
(=) Adjusted Dividend1.441.571.66
WACC / Discount Rate9.41%9.41%9.41%
Growth Rate-2.00%-1.00%0.00%
Fair Value$12.36$14.97$17.68
Upside / Downside-71.35%-65.31%-59.02%

Multi-Stage Model: Projections

(USD in Millions)
MetricTTMDec-27Dec-28Dec-29Dec-30Dec-31Terminal
Net Income (M)203.30201.27199.25197.26195.29193.34199.14
Payout Ratio2.75%20.20%37.65%55.10%72.55%90.00%92.50%
Projected Dividends (M)5.6040.6675.02108.69141.68174.00184.20

Multi-Stage Valuation

MetricLOWBASEHIGH
WACC / Discount Rate9.41%9.41%9.41%
Growth Rate-2.00%-1.00%0.00%
Year 1 PV (M)36.7937.1737.54
Year 2 PV (M)61.4262.6863.95
Year 3 PV (M)80.5182.9985.54
Year 4 PV (M)94.9598.88102.94
Year 5 PV (M)105.50110.99116.71
PV of Terminal Value (M)1,742.631,833.371,927.86
Equity Value (M)2,121.792,226.082,334.53
Shares Outstanding (M)113.02113.02113.02
Fair Value$18.77$19.70$20.66
Upside / Downside-56.49%-54.35%-52.13%

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