Definitive Analysis
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TKG Huchems Co.,Ltd. (069260.KS)

Company Dividend Discount ModelIndustry: ChemicalsSector: Basic Materials

Valuation Snapshot

Stable Growth$21,216.47 - $38,538.06$28,421.09
Multi-Stage$37,493.96 - $41,156.98$39,290.45
Blended Fair Value$33,855.77
Current Price$16,800.00
Upside101.52%
DecisionBuy

Dividend History & Growth Metrics (10Y)

Metric5Y CAGR10Y CAGR2024202320222021202020192018201720162015
DPS-4.02%2.65%983.39983.39983.39983.39983.391,207.501,472.94494.31495.53555.10
YoY Growth--0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%-18.56%-18.02%197.98%-0.25%-10.73%-26.67%
Dividend Yield--6.26%4.94%4.51%4.35%4.51%8.19%6.58%2.01%2.09%2.89%

Stable Growth Model (Adjusted)

(USD in Millions except Per Share Data)
Net Income To Common (M)58,615.39
(-) Cash Dividends Paid (M)38,370.88
(=) Cash Retained (M)20,244.51
MetricLOWBASEHIGH
Required Retention Ratio20.0%12.5%7.5%
(=) Cash Required (M)11,723.087,326.924,396.15
Cash Retained (M)20,244.5120,244.5120,244.51
(-) Cash Required (M)-11,723.08-7,326.92-4,396.15
(=) Excess Retained (M)8,521.4412,917.5915,848.36
(/) Shares Outstanding (M)39.0239.0239.02
(=) Excess Retained per Share218.39331.06406.17
LTM Dividend per Share983.39983.39983.39
(+) Excess Retained per Share218.39331.06406.17
(=) Adjusted Dividend1,201.781,314.451,389.56
WACC / Discount Rate6.35%6.35%6.35%
Growth Rate0.65%1.65%2.65%
Fair Value$21,216.47$28,421.09$38,538.06
Upside / Downside26.29%69.17%129.39%

Multi-Stage Model: Projections

(USD in Millions)
MetricTTMDec-27Dec-28Dec-29Dec-30Dec-31Terminal
Net Income (M)58,615.3959,583.5060,567.5961,567.9462,584.8163,618.4865,527.03
Payout Ratio65.46%70.37%75.28%80.18%85.09%90.00%92.50%
Projected Dividends (M)38,370.8841,928.7245,593.6349,368.1653,254.9357,256.6360,612.50

Multi-Stage Valuation

MetricLOWBASEHIGH
WACC / Discount Rate6.35%6.35%6.35%
Growth Rate0.65%1.65%2.65%
Year 1 PV (M)39,036.3139,424.1439,811.98
Year 2 PV (M)39,520.1240,309.3141,106.30
Year 3 PV (M)39,839.8941,039.1942,262.31
Year 4 PV (M)40,011.8041,625.7743,288.07
Year 5 PV (M)40,050.7942,080.3044,191.25
PV of Terminal Value (M)1,264,518.081,328,595.311,395,244.22
Equity Value (M)1,462,976.991,533,074.011,605,904.13
Shares Outstanding (M)39.0239.0239.02
Fair Value$37,493.96$39,290.45$41,156.98
Upside / Downside123.18%133.87%144.98%

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