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Hifab Group AB (publ.) (HIFA-B.ST)

Company Dividend Discount ModelIndustry: Engineering & ConstructionSector: Industrials

Valuation Snapshot

Stable Growth$3.69 - $5.71$4.62
Multi-Stage$8.39 - $9.24$8.81
Blended Fair Value$6.72
Current Price$3.46
Upside94.10%
DecisionBuy

Dividend History & Growth Metrics (10Y)

Metric5Y CAGR10Y CAGR2024202320222021202020192018201720162015
DPS0.00%0.00%0.000.000.000.000.000.120.120.000.000.20
YoY Growth--0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%-100.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%-100.00%100.00%
Dividend Yield--0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%5.22%4.80%0.00%0.00%7.72%

Stable Growth Model (Adjusted)

(USD in Millions except Per Share Data)
Net Income To Common (M)24.10
(-) Cash Dividends Paid (M)10.30
(=) Cash Retained (M)13.80
MetricLOWBASEHIGH
Required Retention Ratio20.0%12.5%7.5%
(=) Cash Required (M)4.823.011.81
Cash Retained (M)13.8013.8013.80
(-) Cash Required (M)-4.82-3.01-1.81
(=) Excess Retained (M)8.9810.7911.99
(/) Shares Outstanding (M)60.8460.8460.84
(=) Excess Retained per Share0.150.180.20
LTM Dividend per Share0.170.170.17
(+) Excess Retained per Share0.150.180.20
(=) Adjusted Dividend0.320.350.37
WACC / Discount Rate6.42%6.42%6.42%
Growth Rate-2.00%-1.00%0.00%
Fair Value$3.69$4.62$5.71
Upside / Downside6.60%33.66%64.96%

Multi-Stage Model: Projections

(USD in Millions)
MetricTTMDec-27Dec-28Dec-29Dec-30Dec-31Terminal
Net Income (M)24.1023.8623.6223.3823.1522.9223.61
Payout Ratio42.74%52.19%61.64%71.10%80.55%90.00%92.50%
Projected Dividends (M)10.3012.4514.5616.6318.6520.6321.84

Multi-Stage Valuation

MetricLOWBASEHIGH
WACC / Discount Rate6.42%6.42%6.42%
Growth Rate-2.00%-1.00%0.00%
Year 1 PV (M)11.5811.7011.82
Year 2 PV (M)12.6012.8613.12
Year 3 PV (M)13.3813.7914.22
Year 4 PV (M)13.9614.5415.13
Year 5 PV (M)14.3615.1115.89
PV of Terminal Value (M)444.65467.81491.91
Equity Value (M)510.54535.81562.09
Shares Outstanding (M)60.8460.8460.84
Fair Value$8.39$8.81$9.24
Upside / Downside142.53%154.54%167.02%

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