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Great Eastern Holdings Limited (G07.SI)

Company Dividend Discount ModelIndustry: Insurance - LifeSector: Financial Services

Valuation Snapshot

Stable Growth$62.18 - $137.49$89.59
Multi-Stage$77.57 - $85.07$81.25
Blended Fair Value$85.42
Current Price$25.80
Upside231.08%
DecisionBuy

Dividend History & Growth Metrics (10Y)

Metric5Y CAGR10Y CAGR2024202320222021202020192018201720162015
DPS7.21%4.45%0.680.720.520.480.480.480.560.400.440.44
YoY Growth---5.56%38.49%8.31%0.00%0.00%-14.28%39.97%-9.07%0.00%0.00%
Dividend Yield--2.63%4.07%2.81%2.38%2.40%2.20%2.26%1.44%2.16%2.17%

Stable Growth Model (Adjusted)

(USD in Millions except Per Share Data)
Net Income To Common (M)1,926.40
(-) Cash Dividends Paid (M)781.00
(=) Cash Retained (M)1,145.40
MetricLOWBASEHIGH
Required Retention Ratio20.0%12.5%7.5%
(=) Cash Required (M)385.28240.80144.48
Cash Retained (M)1,145.401,145.401,145.40
(-) Cash Required (M)-385.28-240.80-144.48
(=) Excess Retained (M)760.12904.601,000.92
(/) Shares Outstanding (M)592.66592.66592.66
(=) Excess Retained per Share1.281.531.69
LTM Dividend per Share1.321.321.32
(+) Excess Retained per Share1.281.531.69
(=) Adjusted Dividend2.602.843.01
WACC / Discount Rate6.73%6.73%6.73%
Growth Rate2.45%3.45%4.45%
Fair Value$62.18$89.59$137.49
Upside / Downside141.02%247.25%432.91%

Multi-Stage Model: Projections

(USD in Millions)
MetricTTMDec-27Dec-28Dec-29Dec-30Dec-31Terminal
Net Income (M)1,926.401,992.862,061.612,132.732,206.302,282.422,350.89
Payout Ratio40.54%50.43%60.33%70.22%80.11%90.00%92.50%
Projected Dividends (M)781.001,005.071,243.671,497.531,767.432,054.172,174.57

Multi-Stage Valuation

MetricLOWBASEHIGH
WACC / Discount Rate6.73%6.73%6.73%
Growth Rate2.45%3.45%4.45%
Year 1 PV (M)932.56941.66950.76
Year 2 PV (M)1,070.691,091.691,112.90
Year 3 PV (M)1,196.231,231.601,267.66
Year 4 PV (M)1,309.961,361.861,415.29
Year 5 PV (M)1,412.641,482.951,556.02
PV of Terminal Value (M)40,050.5342,043.7044,115.45
Equity Value (M)45,972.6148,153.4650,418.09
Shares Outstanding (M)592.66592.66592.66
Fair Value$77.57$81.25$85.07
Upside / Downside200.66%214.92%229.73%

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