DDM Analysis: HMPRO-R.BK

Valuation Snapshot

Stable Growth	$6.19 - $10.83	$8.17
Multi-Stage	$10.75 - $11.78	$11.25
Blended Fair Value	$9.71
Current Price	$7.45
Upside	30.37%
Decision	Don't Buy

Dividend History & Growth Metrics (10Y)

Metric	5Y CAGR	10Y CAGR	2024	2023	2022	2021	2020	2019	2018	2017	2016	2015
DPS	1.57%	32.96%	0.41	0.39	0.37	0.32	0.31	0.37	0.33	0.28	0.27	0.17
YoY Growth	-	-	2.56%	5.40%	15.64%	3.25%	-16.25%	12.17%	17.80%	3.76%	59.99%	628.11%
Dividend Yield	-	-	4.71%	3.73%	2.60%	2.04%	2.12%	3.38%	2.20%	2.00%	2.83%	2.07%

Stable Growth Model (Adjusted)

(USD in Millions except Per Share Data)

Net Income To Common (M)	6,136.51
(-) Cash Dividends Paid (M)	5,362.98
(=) Cash Retained (M)	773.53

Metric	LOW	BASE	HIGH
Required Retention Ratio	20.0%	12.5%	7.5%
(=) Cash Required (M)	1,227.30	767.06	460.24
Cash Retained (M)	773.53	773.53	773.53
(-) Cash Required (M)	-1,227.30	-767.06	-460.24
(=) Excess Retained (M)	-453.77	6.46	313.29
(/) Shares Outstanding (M)	12,984.44	12,984.44	12,984.44
(=) Excess Retained per Share	-0.03	0.00	0.02
LTM Dividend per Share	0.41	0.41	0.41
(+) Excess Retained per Share	-0.03	0.00	0.02
(=) Adjusted Dividend	0.38	0.41	0.44
WACC / Discount Rate	6.73%	6.73%	6.73%
Growth Rate	0.59%	1.59%	2.59%
Fair Value	$6.19	$8.17	$10.83
Upside / Downside	-16.87%	9.69%	45.38%

Multi-Stage Model: Projections

(USD in Millions)

Metric	TTM	Dec-27	Dec-28	Dec-29	Dec-30	Dec-31	Terminal
Net Income (M)	6,136.51	6,233.90	6,332.83	6,433.33	6,535.43	6,639.14	6,838.32
Payout Ratio	87.39%	87.92%	88.44%	88.96%	89.48%	90.00%	92.50%
Projected Dividends (M)	5,362.98	5,480.58	5,600.55	5,722.95	5,847.83	5,975.23	6,325.44

Multi-Stage Valuation

Metric	LOW	BASE	HIGH
WACC / Discount Rate	6.73%	6.73%	6.73%
Growth Rate	0.59%	1.59%	2.59%
Year 1 PV (M)	5,084.55	5,135.10	5,185.65
Year 2 PV (M)	4,820.41	4,916.73	5,014.01
Year 3 PV (M)	4,569.83	4,707.48	4,847.88
Year 4 PV (M)	4,332.13	4,506.99	4,687.09
Year 5 PV (M)	4,106.65	4,314.88	4,531.48
PV of Terminal Value (M)	116,623.04	122,536.58	128,687.61
Equity Value (M)	139,536.60	146,117.76	152,953.70
Shares Outstanding (M)	12,984.44	12,984.44	12,984.44
Fair Value	$10.75	$11.25	$11.78
Upside / Downside	44.25%	51.05%	58.12%

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Home Product Center Public Company Limited (HMPRO-R.BK)

Valuation Snapshot

Dividend History & Growth Metrics (10Y)

Stable Growth Model (Adjusted)

Multi-Stage Model: Projections

Multi-Stage Valuation

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