DDM Analysis: 601518.SS

Valuation Snapshot

Stable Growth	$34.01 - $57.08	$53.50
Multi-Stage	$9.17 - $10.04	$9.60
Blended Fair Value	$31.55
Current Price	$2.70
Upside	1,068.44%
Decision	Buy

Dividend History & Growth Metrics (10Y)

Metric	5Y CAGR	10Y CAGR	2024	2023	2022	2021	2020	2019	2018	2017	2016	2015
DPS	5.73%	3.32%	0.10	0.01	0.04	0.04	0.05	0.07	0.11	0.13	0.11	0.10
YoY Growth	-	-	1,155.15%	-80.21%	-7.38%	-19.76%	-28.42%	-35.18%	-9.48%	18.80%	3.96%	44.82%
Dividend Yield	-	-	3.53%	0.32%	1.88%	2.17%	3.29%	4.49%	5.03%	5.32%	3.44%	3.60%

Stable Growth Model (Adjusted)

(USD in Millions except Per Share Data)

Net Income To Common (M)	544.91
(-) Cash Dividends Paid (M)	177.62
(=) Cash Retained (M)	367.28

Metric	LOW	BASE	HIGH
Required Retention Ratio	20.0%	12.5%	7.5%
(=) Cash Required (M)	108.98	68.11	40.87
Cash Retained (M)	367.28	367.28	367.28
(-) Cash Required (M)	-108.98	-68.11	-40.87
(=) Excess Retained (M)	258.30	299.17	326.41
(/) Shares Outstanding (M)	1,898.40	1,898.40	1,898.40
(=) Excess Retained per Share	0.14	0.16	0.17
LTM Dividend per Share	0.09	0.09	0.09
(+) Excess Retained per Share	0.14	0.16	0.17
(=) Adjusted Dividend	0.23	0.25	0.27
WACC / Discount Rate	6.21%	6.21%	6.21%
Growth Rate	5.50%	6.50%	7.50%
Fair Value	$34.01	$53.50	$57.08
Upside / Downside	1,159.50%	1,881.34%	2,014.22%

Multi-Stage Model: Projections

(USD in Millions)

Metric	TTM	Dec-27	Dec-28	Dec-29	Dec-30	Dec-31	Terminal
Net Income (M)	544.91	580.32	618.05	658.22	701.00	746.57	768.96
Payout Ratio	32.60%	44.08%	55.56%	67.04%	78.52%	90.00%	92.50%
Projected Dividends (M)	177.62	255.79	343.38	441.26	550.42	671.91	711.29

Multi-Stage Valuation

Metric	LOW	BASE	HIGH
WACC / Discount Rate	6.21%	6.21%	6.21%
Growth Rate	5.50%	6.50%	7.50%
Year 1 PV (M)	238.57	240.83	243.09
Year 2 PV (M)	298.69	304.38	310.12
Year 3 PV (M)	358.00	368.27	378.75
Year 4 PV (M)	416.49	432.51	448.98
Year 5 PV (M)	474.19	497.09	520.87
PV of Terminal Value (M)	15,626.39	16,381.16	17,164.80
Equity Value (M)	17,412.34	18,224.24	19,066.62
Shares Outstanding (M)	1,898.40	1,898.40	1,898.40
Fair Value	$9.17	$9.60	$10.04
Upside / Downside	239.71%	255.55%	271.98%

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Jilin Expressway Co., Ltd. (601518.SS)

Valuation Snapshot

Dividend History & Growth Metrics (10Y)

Stable Growth Model (Adjusted)

Multi-Stage Model: Projections

Multi-Stage Valuation

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