DDM Analysis: 000858.SZ

Valuation Snapshot

Stable Growth	$814.95 - $1,456.79	$1,365.22
Multi-Stage	$230.98 - $252.89	$241.73
Blended Fair Value	$803.48
Current Price	$121.48
Upside	561.41%
Decision	Buy

Dividend History & Growth Metrics (10Y)

Metric	5Y CAGR	10Y CAGR	2024	2023	2022	2021	2020	2019	2018	2017	2016	2015
DPS	22.40%	21.17%	4.67	3.78	3.02	2.58	2.20	1.70	1.30	0.88	0.78	0.59
YoY Growth	-	-	23.48%	25.11%	17.17%	17.27%	29.41%	30.77%	47.70%	12.50%	33.33%	-14.29%
Dividend Yield	-	-	3.56%	2.40%	1.53%	1.66%	0.82%	1.48%	1.35%	1.33%	1.82%	2.09%

Stable Growth Model (Adjusted)

(USD in Millions except Per Share Data)

Net Income To Common (M)	28,433.67
(-) Cash Dividends Paid (M)	9,999.02
(=) Cash Retained (M)	18,434.64

Metric	LOW	BASE	HIGH
Required Retention Ratio	20.0%	12.5%	7.5%
(=) Cash Required (M)	5,686.73	3,554.21	2,132.52
Cash Retained (M)	18,434.64	18,434.64	18,434.64
(-) Cash Required (M)	-5,686.73	-3,554.21	-2,132.52
(=) Excess Retained (M)	12,747.91	14,880.44	16,302.12
(/) Shares Outstanding (M)	3,881.65	3,881.65	3,881.65
(=) Excess Retained per Share	3.28	3.83	4.20
LTM Dividend per Share	2.58	2.58	2.58
(+) Excess Retained per Share	3.28	3.83	4.20
(=) Adjusted Dividend	5.86	6.41	6.78
WACC / Discount Rate	6.26%	6.26%	6.26%
Growth Rate	5.50%	6.50%	7.50%
Fair Value	$814.95	$1,365.22	$1,456.79
Upside / Downside	570.85%	1,023.83%	1,099.20%

Multi-Stage Model: Projections

(USD in Millions)

Metric	TTM	Dec-27	Dec-28	Dec-29	Dec-30	Dec-31	Terminal
Net Income (M)	28,433.67	30,281.85	32,250.18	34,346.44	36,578.96	38,956.59	40,125.28
Payout Ratio	35.17%	46.13%	57.10%	68.07%	79.03%	90.00%	92.50%
Projected Dividends (M)	9,999.02	13,969.90	18,414.75	23,378.40	28,909.53	35,060.93	37,115.89

Multi-Stage Valuation

Metric	LOW	BASE	HIGH
WACC / Discount Rate	6.26%	6.26%	6.26%
Growth Rate	5.50%	6.50%	7.50%
Year 1 PV (M)	13,023.63	13,147.07	13,270.52
Year 2 PV (M)	16,004.54	16,309.38	16,617.10
Year 3 PV (M)	18,942.22	19,485.98	20,040.05
Year 4 PV (M)	21,837.14	22,676.93	23,540.72
Year 5 PV (M)	24,689.75	25,882.28	27,120.44
PV of Terminal Value (M)	802,082.25	840,823.12	881,046.70
Equity Value (M)	896,579.52	938,324.76	981,635.52
Shares Outstanding (M)	3,881.65	3,881.65	3,881.65
Fair Value	$230.98	$241.73	$252.89
Upside / Downside	90.14%	98.99%	108.17%

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Wuliangye Yibin Co.,Ltd. (000858.SZ)

Valuation Snapshot

Dividend History & Growth Metrics (10Y)

Stable Growth Model (Adjusted)

Multi-Stage Model: Projections

Multi-Stage Valuation

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