DDM Analysis: WGN.AX

Valuation Snapshot

Stable Growth	$3.90 - $10.16	$5.93
Multi-Stage	$3.71 - $4.07	$3.89
Blended Fair Value	$4.91
Current Price	$2.29
Upside	114.34%
Decision	Buy

Dividend History & Growth Metrics (10Y)

Metric	5Y CAGR	10Y CAGR	2025	2024	2023	2022	2021	2020	2019	2018	2017	2016
DPS	0.00%	0.00%	0.02	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.05	0.16	0.00	0.00
YoY Growth	-	-	0.00%	0.00%	0.00%	0.00%	0.00%	-100.00%	-69.61%	0.00%	0.00%	0.00%
Dividend Yield	-	-	1.07%	0.00%	0.00%	0.00%	0.00%	0.00%	2.78%	3.72%	0.00%	0.00%

Stable Growth Model (Adjusted)

(USD in Millions except Per Share Data)

Net Income To Common (M)	33.00
(-) Cash Dividends Paid (M)	4.69
(=) Cash Retained (M)	28.31

Metric	LOW	BASE	HIGH
Required Retention Ratio	20.0%	12.5%	7.5%
(=) Cash Required (M)	6.60	4.12	2.47
Cash Retained (M)	28.31	28.31	28.31
(-) Cash Required (M)	-6.60	-4.12	-2.47
(=) Excess Retained (M)	21.71	24.18	25.83
(/) Shares Outstanding (M)	192.11	192.11	192.11
(=) Excess Retained per Share	0.11	0.13	0.13
LTM Dividend per Share	0.02	0.02	0.02
(+) Excess Retained per Share	0.11	0.13	0.13
(=) Adjusted Dividend	0.14	0.15	0.16
WACC / Discount Rate	7.23%	7.23%	7.23%
Growth Rate	3.57%	4.57%	5.57%
Fair Value	$3.90	$5.93	$10.16
Upside / Downside	70.24%	158.92%	343.75%

Multi-Stage Model: Projections

(USD in Millions)

Metric	TTM	Dec-27	Dec-28	Dec-29	Dec-30	Dec-31	Terminal
Net Income (M)	33.00	34.51	36.09	37.74	39.46	41.27	42.51
Payout Ratio	14.21%	29.37%	44.53%	59.69%	74.84%	90.00%	92.50%
Projected Dividends (M)	4.69	10.13	16.07	22.52	29.54	37.14	39.32

Multi-Stage Valuation

Metric	LOW	BASE	HIGH
WACC / Discount Rate	7.23%	7.23%	7.23%
Growth Rate	3.57%	4.57%	5.57%
Year 1 PV (M)	9.36	9.45	9.54
Year 2 PV (M)	13.71	13.98	14.24
Year 3 PV (M)	17.75	18.27	18.80
Year 4 PV (M)	21.50	22.34	23.21
Year 5 PV (M)	24.98	26.20	27.48
PV of Terminal Value (M)	625.74	656.54	688.54
Equity Value (M)	713.04	746.79	781.82
Shares Outstanding (M)	192.11	192.11	192.11
Fair Value	$3.71	$3.89	$4.07
Upside / Downside	62.08%	69.75%	77.71%

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Wagners Holding Company Limited (WGN.AX)

Valuation Snapshot

Dividend History & Growth Metrics (10Y)

Stable Growth Model (Adjusted)

Multi-Stage Model: Projections

Multi-Stage Valuation

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