DDM Analysis: FPE.DE

Valuation Snapshot

Stable Growth	$95.02 - $443.23	$212.05
Multi-Stage	$63.89 - $69.95	$66.86
Blended Fair Value	$139.46
Current Price	$38.08
Upside	266.22%
Decision	Buy

Dividend History & Growth Metrics (10Y)

Metric	5Y CAGR	10Y CAGR	2024	2023	2022	2021	2020	2019	2018	2017	2016	2015
DPS	2.19%	4.16%	1.11	1.10	1.09	1.04	1.03	1.00	0.96	0.94	0.87	0.82
YoY Growth	-	-	1.39%	0.70%	4.38%	1.48%	3.05%	3.97%	2.44%	7.89%	6.54%	10.20%
Dividend Yield	-	-	2.51%	2.40%	2.90%	3.19%	2.52%	3.09%	2.56%	2.13%	1.90%	2.08%

Stable Growth Model (Adjusted)

(USD in Millions except Per Share Data)

Net Income To Common (M)	295.00
(-) Cash Dividends Paid (M)	153.00
(=) Cash Retained (M)	142.00

Metric	LOW	BASE	HIGH
Required Retention Ratio	20.0%	12.5%	7.5%
(=) Cash Required (M)	59.00	36.88	22.13
Cash Retained (M)	142.00	142.00	142.00
(-) Cash Required (M)	-59.00	-36.88	-22.13
(=) Excess Retained (M)	83.00	105.13	119.88
(/) Shares Outstanding (M)	131.14	131.14	131.14
(=) Excess Retained per Share	0.63	0.80	0.91
LTM Dividend per Share	1.17	1.17	1.17
(+) Excess Retained per Share	0.63	0.80	0.91
(=) Adjusted Dividend	1.80	1.97	2.08
WACC / Discount Rate	6.49%	6.49%	6.49%
Growth Rate	4.51%	5.51%	6.51%
Fair Value	$95.02	$212.05	$443.23
Upside / Downside	149.51%	456.85%	1,063.93%

Multi-Stage Model: Projections

(USD in Millions)

Metric	TTM	Dec-27	Dec-28	Dec-29	Dec-30	Dec-31	Terminal
Net Income (M)	295.00	311.25	328.39	346.47	365.55	385.68	397.25
Payout Ratio	51.86%	59.49%	67.12%	74.75%	82.37%	90.00%	92.50%
Projected Dividends (M)	153.00	185.16	220.41	258.97	301.11	347.11	367.46

Multi-Stage Valuation

Metric	LOW	BASE	HIGH
WACC / Discount Rate	6.49%	6.49%	6.49%
Growth Rate	4.51%	5.51%	6.51%
Year 1 PV (M)	172.24	173.89	175.53
Year 2 PV (M)	190.71	194.37	198.08
Year 3 PV (M)	208.43	214.47	220.63
Year 4 PV (M)	225.43	234.18	243.19
Year 5 PV (M)	241.73	253.51	265.76
PV of Terminal Value (M)	7,340.18	7,698.14	8,069.94
Equity Value (M)	8,378.71	8,768.57	9,173.13
Shares Outstanding (M)	131.14	131.14	131.14
Fair Value	$63.89	$66.86	$69.95
Upside / Downside	67.78%	75.58%	83.69%

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Fuchs Petrolub SE (FPE.DE)

Valuation Snapshot

Dividend History & Growth Metrics (10Y)

Stable Growth Model (Adjusted)

Multi-Stage Model: Projections

Multi-Stage Valuation

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