DDM Analysis: ERAA.JK

Valuation Snapshot

Stable Growth	$3,280.99 - $12,939.86	$8,999.51
Multi-Stage	$1,575.54 - $1,723.89	$1,648.35
Blended Fair Value	$5,323.93
Current Price	$432.00
Upside	1,132.39%
Decision	Buy

Dividend History & Growth Metrics (10Y)

Metric	5Y CAGR	10Y CAGR	2024	2023	2022	2021	2020	2019	2018	2017	2016	2015
DPS	10.96%	177.18%	17.00	19.00	22.96	13.90	0.00	10.11	6.98	3.67	3.67	3.67
YoY Growth	-	-	-10.53%	-17.23%	65.15%	0.00%	-100.00%	44.74%	90.00%	0.00%	0.00%	578,566.58%
Dividend Yield	-	-	4.21%	4.30%	4.41%	2.40%	0.00%	5.40%	1.91%	1.45%	3.04%	2.66%

Stable Growth Model (Adjusted)

(USD in Millions except Per Share Data)

Net Income To Common (M)	1,026,957.04
(-) Cash Dividends Paid (M)	299,886.21
(=) Cash Retained (M)	727,070.83

Metric	LOW	BASE	HIGH
Required Retention Ratio	20.0%	12.5%	7.5%
(=) Cash Required (M)	205,391.41	128,369.63	77,021.78
Cash Retained (M)	727,070.83	727,070.83	727,070.83
(-) Cash Required (M)	-205,391.41	-128,369.63	-77,021.78
(=) Excess Retained (M)	521,679.42	598,701.20	650,049.05
(/) Shares Outstanding (M)	15,783.49	15,783.49	15,783.49
(=) Excess Retained per Share	33.05	37.93	41.19
LTM Dividend per Share	19.00	19.00	19.00
(+) Excess Retained per Share	33.05	37.93	41.19
(=) Adjusted Dividend	52.05	56.93	60.19
WACC / Discount Rate	7.17%	7.17%	7.17%
Growth Rate	5.50%	6.50%	7.50%
Fair Value	$3,280.99	$8,999.51	$12,939.86
Upside / Downside	659.49%	1,983.22%	2,895.34%

Multi-Stage Model: Projections

(USD in Millions)

Metric	TTM	Dec-27	Dec-28	Dec-29	Dec-30	Dec-31	Terminal
Net Income (M)	1,026,957.04	1,093,709.25	1,164,800.35	1,240,512.37	1,321,145.67	1,407,020.14	1,449,230.75
Payout Ratio	29.20%	41.36%	53.52%	65.68%	77.84%	90.00%	92.50%
Projected Dividends (M)	299,886.21	452,370.72	623,411.19	814,775.65	1,028,383.59	1,266,318.13	1,340,538.44

Multi-Stage Valuation

Metric	LOW	BASE	HIGH
WACC / Discount Rate	7.17%	7.17%	7.17%
Growth Rate	5.50%	6.50%	7.50%
Year 1 PV (M)	418,127.73	422,091.03	426,054.33
Year 2 PV (M)	532,602.96	542,747.55	552,987.84
Year 3 PV (M)	643,400.68	661,870.40	680,690.25
Year 4 PV (M)	750,607.84	779,474.10	809,165.05
Year 5 PV (M)	854,309.58	895,573.05	938,415.77
PV of Terminal Value (M)	21,668,406.37	22,714,998.49	23,801,646.17
Equity Value (M)	24,867,455.16	26,016,754.63	27,208,959.41
Shares Outstanding (M)	15,783.49	15,783.49	15,783.49
Fair Value	$1,575.54	$1,648.35	$1,723.89
Upside / Downside	264.71%	281.56%	299.05%

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PT Erajaya Swasembada Tbk (ERAA.JK)

Valuation Snapshot

Dividend History & Growth Metrics (10Y)

Stable Growth Model (Adjusted)

Multi-Stage Model: Projections

Multi-Stage Valuation

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