DDM Analysis: BRIS.JK

Valuation Snapshot

Stable Growth	$3,213.07 - $7,147.12	$4,638.42
Multi-Stage	$2,295.38 - $2,508.15	$2,399.83
Blended Fair Value	$3,519.13
Current Price	$2,590.00
Upside	35.87%
Decision	Don't Buy

Dividend History & Growth Metrics (10Y)

Metric	5Y CAGR	10Y CAGR	2024	2023	2022	2021	2020	2019	2018	2017	2016	2015
DPS	140.38%	0.00%	18.55	9.24	16.41	0.00	5.52	0.23	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00
YoY Growth	-	-	100.83%	-43.73%	0.00%	-100.00%	2,290.32%	0.00%	0.00%	0.00%	0.00%	0.00%
Dividend Yield	-	-	0.79%	0.36%	0.98%	0.00%	0.25%	0.12%	0.00%	0.00%	0.00%	0.00%

Stable Growth Model (Adjusted)

(USD in Millions except Per Share Data)

Net Income To Common (M)	7,467,578.00
(-) Cash Dividends Paid (M)	1,050,883.00
(=) Cash Retained (M)	6,416,695.00

Metric	LOW	BASE	HIGH
Required Retention Ratio	20.0%	12.5%	7.5%
(=) Cash Required (M)	1,493,515.60	933,447.25	560,068.35
Cash Retained (M)	6,416,695.00	6,416,695.00	6,416,695.00
(-) Cash Required (M)	-1,493,515.60	-933,447.25	-560,068.35
(=) Excess Retained (M)	4,923,179.40	5,483,247.75	5,856,626.65
(/) Shares Outstanding (M)	46,130.15	46,130.15	46,130.15
(=) Excess Retained per Share	106.72	118.86	126.96
LTM Dividend per Share	22.78	22.78	22.78
(+) Excess Retained per Share	106.72	118.86	126.96
(=) Adjusted Dividend	129.50	141.65	149.74
WACC / Discount Rate	9.75%	9.75%	9.75%
Growth Rate	5.50%	6.50%	7.50%
Fair Value	$3,213.07	$4,638.42	$7,147.12
Upside / Downside	24.06%	79.09%	175.95%

Multi-Stage Model: Projections

(USD in Millions)

Metric	TTM	Dec-27	Dec-28	Dec-29	Dec-30	Dec-31	Terminal
Net Income (M)	7,467,578.00	7,952,970.57	8,469,913.66	9,020,458.04	9,606,787.82	10,231,229.03	10,538,165.90
Payout Ratio	14.07%	29.26%	44.44%	59.63%	74.81%	90.00%	92.50%
Projected Dividends (M)	1,050,883.00	2,326,887.02	3,764,331.58	5,378,812.83	7,187,272.35	9,208,106.12	9,747,803.45

Multi-Stage Valuation

Metric	LOW	BASE	HIGH
WACC / Discount Rate	9.75%	9.75%	9.75%
Growth Rate	5.50%	6.50%	7.50%
Year 1 PV (M)	2,100,219.89	2,120,127.18	2,140,034.48
Year 2 PV (M)	3,066,668.35	3,125,079.76	3,184,042.23
Year 3 PV (M)	3,955,076.08	4,068,612.10	4,184,300.40
Year 4 PV (M)	4,770,039.56	4,953,481.82	5,142,164.90
Year 5 PV (M)	5,515,916.26	5,782,337.08	6,058,954.45
PV of Terminal Value (M)	86,478,155.01	90,655,082.23	94,991,870.29
Equity Value (M)	105,886,075.15	110,704,720.19	115,701,366.76
Shares Outstanding (M)	46,130.15	46,130.15	46,130.15
Fair Value	$2,295.38	$2,399.83	$2,508.15
Upside / Downside	-11.38%	-7.34%	-3.16%

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PT Bank Syariah Indonesia Tbk (BRIS.JK)

Valuation Snapshot

Dividend History & Growth Metrics (10Y)

Stable Growth Model (Adjusted)

Multi-Stage Model: Projections

Multi-Stage Valuation

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