Definitive Analysis
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Definitive Analysis

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Company Industry Sector

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Sector

PT Bank Syariah Indonesia Tbk (BRIS.JK)

Company Dividend Discount ModelIndustry: Banks - RegionalSector: Financial Services

Valuation Snapshot

Stable Growth$4,714.48 - $17,924.71$7,947.83
Multi-Stage$2,934.27 - $3,209.56$3,069.40
Blended Fair Value$5,508.61
Current Price$2,590.00
Upside112.69%
DecisionBuy

Dividend History & Growth Metrics (10Y)

Metric5Y CAGR10Y CAGR2024202320222021202020192018201720162015
DPS140.38%0.00%18.559.2416.410.005.520.230.000.000.000.00
YoY Growth--100.83%-43.73%0.00%-100.00%2,290.32%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%
Dividend Yield--0.79%0.36%0.98%0.00%0.25%0.12%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%

Stable Growth Model (Adjusted)

(USD in Millions except Per Share Data)
Net Income To Common (M)7,467,578.00
(-) Cash Dividends Paid (M)1,050,883.00
(=) Cash Retained (M)6,416,695.00
MetricLOWBASEHIGH
Required Retention Ratio20.0%12.5%7.5%
(=) Cash Required (M)1,493,515.60933,447.25560,068.35
Cash Retained (M)6,416,695.006,416,695.006,416,695.00
(-) Cash Required (M)-1,493,515.60-933,447.25-560,068.35
(=) Excess Retained (M)4,923,179.405,483,247.755,856,626.65
(/) Shares Outstanding (M)46,130.1546,130.1546,130.15
(=) Excess Retained per Share106.72118.86126.96
LTM Dividend per Share22.7822.7822.78
(+) Excess Retained per Share106.72118.86126.96
(=) Adjusted Dividend129.50141.65149.74
WACC / Discount Rate8.40%8.40%8.40%
Growth Rate5.50%6.50%7.50%
Fair Value$4,714.48$7,947.83$17,924.71
Upside / Downside82.03%206.87%592.07%

Multi-Stage Model: Projections

(USD in Millions)
MetricTTMDec-27Dec-28Dec-29Dec-30Dec-31Terminal
Net Income (M)7,467,578.007,952,970.578,469,913.669,020,458.049,606,787.8210,231,229.0310,538,165.90
Payout Ratio14.07%29.26%44.44%59.63%74.81%90.00%92.50%
Projected Dividends (M)1,050,883.002,326,887.023,764,331.585,378,812.837,187,272.359,208,106.129,747,803.45

Multi-Stage Valuation

MetricLOWBASEHIGH
WACC / Discount Rate8.40%8.40%8.40%
Growth Rate5.50%6.50%7.50%
Year 1 PV (M)2,126,457.672,146,613.672,166,769.67
Year 2 PV (M)3,143,769.983,203,649.973,264,094.86
Year 3 PV (M)4,105,166.434,223,011.014,343,089.54
Year 4 PV (M)5,012,909.745,205,692.105,403,982.12
Year 5 PV (M)5,869,181.556,152,665.226,446,998.47
PV of Terminal Value (M)115,100,805.24120,660,217.17126,432,400.88
Equity Value (M)135,358,290.61141,591,849.13148,057,335.53
Shares Outstanding (M)46,130.1546,130.1546,130.15
Fair Value$2,934.27$3,069.40$3,209.56
Upside / Downside13.29%18.51%23.92%

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