Definitive Analysis
Definitive Analysis

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Ticker

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Climb Global Solutions, Inc. (CLMB)

Company Dividend Discount ModelIndustry: Technology DistributorsSector: Technology

Valuation Snapshot

Stable Growth$54.52 - $90.16$70.31
Multi-Stage$73.53 - $80.71$77.05
Blended Fair Value$73.68
Current Price$134.84
Upside-45.36%
DecisionDon't Buy

Dividend History & Growth Metrics (10Y)

Metric5Y CAGR10Y CAGR2024202320222021202020192018201720162015
DPS-0.18%-0.61%0.670.670.660.660.660.680.680.680.710.72
YoY Growth--0.86%0.77%-0.13%-0.17%-2.22%0.00%0.36%-4.50%-1.33%0.37%
Dividend Yield--0.61%0.97%1.24%1.92%2.64%5.32%6.12%5.27%3.77%4.20%

Stable Growth Model (Adjusted)

(USD in Millions except Per Share Data)
Net Income To Common (M)21.16
(-) Cash Dividends Paid (M)3.07
(=) Cash Retained (M)18.10
MetricLOWBASEHIGH
Required Retention Ratio20.0%12.5%7.5%
(=) Cash Required (M)4.232.651.59
Cash Retained (M)18.1018.1018.10
(-) Cash Required (M)-4.23-2.65-1.59
(=) Excess Retained (M)13.8615.4516.51
(/) Shares Outstanding (M)4.514.514.51
(=) Excess Retained per Share3.073.433.66
LTM Dividend per Share0.680.680.68
(+) Excess Retained per Share3.073.433.66
(=) Adjusted Dividend3.754.114.34
WACC / Discount Rate8.14%8.14%8.14%
Growth Rate1.17%2.17%3.17%
Fair Value$54.52$70.31$90.16
Upside / Downside-59.57%-47.86%-33.13%

Multi-Stage Model: Projections

(USD in Millions)
MetricTTMDec-27Dec-28Dec-29Dec-30Dec-31Terminal
Net Income (M)21.1621.6222.0922.5723.0623.5624.27
Payout Ratio14.50%29.60%44.70%59.80%74.90%90.00%92.50%
Projected Dividends (M)3.076.409.8813.5017.2721.2122.45

Multi-Stage Valuation

MetricLOWBASEHIGH
WACC / Discount Rate8.14%8.14%8.14%
Growth Rate1.17%2.17%3.17%
Year 1 PV (M)5.865.925.98
Year 2 PV (M)8.288.448.61
Year 3 PV (M)10.3610.6710.99
Year 4 PV (M)12.1412.6313.13
Year 5 PV (M)13.6514.3415.06
PV of Terminal Value (M)281.28295.46310.20
Equity Value (M)331.58347.47363.97
Shares Outstanding (M)4.514.514.51
Fair Value$73.53$77.05$80.71
Upside / Downside-45.47%-42.86%-40.15%

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