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Industrial & Commercial Bank of China Ltd.

ID: 601398.SS SECTOR: Financial Services INDUSTRY: Banks - Diversified
7.57
+0.13 (1.75%)
Ref: 2026-04-20

Dividend Discount Models Snapshot

ModelRangeSelected
Stable Growth DDM $36.12 - $95.13 $54.34
Multi-Stage DDM $15.22 - $16.63 $15.91
Blended Fair Value $35.13
Stock Price$7.31

Dividend History (Last 10 Years)

Metric 2025202420232022202120202019201820172016
DPS 0.3710.4750.4740.3990.3600.3510.3270.3120.2840.280
YoY % -21.89%0.11%18.76%10.99%2.42%7.41%4.93%9.61%1.71%-2.38%
Yield 5.07%6.50%6.49%5.46%4.92%4.81%4.47%4.26%3.89%3.82%

CAGRValue
5 Year1.09%
10 Year2.62%

Discounted Dividend Model - Stable Growth

MetricRangeSelected
LT Growth 5.50% to 7.50% 6.50%
WACC9.00%9.00%
Fair Value $36.12 - $95.13 $54.34

Calculation Details (Millions)

MetricLOWBASEHIGH
Required Retention Ratio 20.0% 12.5% 7.5%
(*) Adjusted Net Income 53,935.36 53,935.36 53,935.36
(=) Cash Required 10,787.07 6,741.92 4,045.15
(=) Excess Retained per Share 0.83 0.90 0.96
LTM Dividend per Share 0.371 0.371 0.371
(=) Adjusted Dividend 1.198 1.276 1.327

Multi-Stage Projections (BASE Case - Millions)

MetricTTMYear 1Year 2Year 3Year 4Year 5
Net Income 53,935.36 57,441.1661,174.8465,151.2069,386.0373,896.12
Projected Dividends 19,342.20 14,360.2925,081.6837,136.1850,651.8066,506.51

Multi-Stage Valuation (Millions)

Present ValuesLOWBASEHIGH
Year 1 PV 13,625.51 13,754.66 13,883.82
Year 2 PV 21,628.31 22,040.27 22,456.12
Year 3 PV 29,103.12 29,938.57 30,789.85
Year 4 PV 36,075.60 37,462.97 38,889.97
Year 5 PV 43,048.61 45,127.88 47,286.72
TV PV 650,214.18 681,619.76 714,227.32
Equity Value 793,695.34 829,944.11 867,533.79
Fair Value $15.22 $15.91 $16.63

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AIKI AIKI 19.55% $0.70 10.85%
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DTW DTW 19.03% $4.08 87.19%
EMD EMD 18.84% $2.03 78.17%
SR-PA SR-PA 18.76% $4.54 98.60%
SRV SRV 18.74% $7.53 66.75%
CIK CIK 18.41% $0.52 82.82%
DHY DHY 18.39% $0.37 88.67%
MNR MNR 18.30% $2.06 89.28%
PFL PFL 18.22% $1.54 84.57%
EAD EAD 18.08% $1.23 52.27%
SPE SPE 18.03% $2.66 44.19%
AIF AIF 17.93% $2.66 60.44%
GAB GAB 17.77% $1.08 81.70%
HPF HPF 17.73% $2.86 78.50%
MPV MPV 17.65% $2.93 95.78%
GBAB GBAB 17.43% $2.59 74.37%
TEI TEI 17.42% $1.14 64.65%
ISD ISD 17.40% $2.52 96.64%
HIX HIX 17.39% $0.73 96.11%
NXG NXG 17.31% $8.79 83.58%
HPI HPI 17.11% $2.79 76.40%
RCS RCS 17.08% $1.00 75.51%
DUKB DUKB 16.95% $4.19 65.28%
FGB FGB 16.75% $0.70 50.91%
RQI RQI 16.75% $1.92 87.08%
FPF FPF 16.57% $3.09 70.83%
EVV EVV 16.43% $1.63 64.70%
AIZN AIZN 16.41% $3.22 19.47%
NML NML 16.37% $1.40 40.22%
PGP PGP 16.31% $1.50 60.66%
CHW CHW 16.07% $1.20 66.54%
BGY BGY 15.99% $0.94 99.21%
GABBX GABBX 15.98% $2.85 40.22%
BDJ BDJ 15.90% $1.49 72.30%
DSL DSL 15.85% $1.78 54.50%
PDT PDT 15.76% $2.01 62.66%
TSQ TSQ 15.55% $0.79 70.58%
EOD EOD 15.39% $0.90 52.51%
LGI LGI 15.37% $2.68 82.52%
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FPI FPI 15.34% $1.48 93.00%