Definitive Analysis
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Definitive Analysis

Financial Statements

Ticker

Industry

Sector

E&E Recycling,Inc. (8440.TWO)

Company Dividend Discount ModelIndustry: Waste ManagementSector: Industrials

Valuation Snapshot

Stable Growth$1.72 - $2.66$2.16
Multi-Stage$2.44 - $2.67$2.55
Blended Fair Value$2.36
Current Price$25.45
Upside-90.74%
DecisionDon't Buy

Dividend History & Growth Metrics (10Y)

Metric5Y CAGR10Y CAGR2024202320222021202020192018201720162015
DPS-19.69%0.00%0.130.300.450.230.300.380.000.000.000.00
YoY Growth---58.25%-33.33%100.00%-25.00%-20.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%
Dividend Yield--0.39%1.11%1.41%0.48%2.69%4.87%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%

Stable Growth Model (Adjusted)

(USD in Millions except Per Share Data)
Net Income To Common (M)9.05
(-) Cash Dividends Paid (M)7.34
(=) Cash Retained (M)1.71
MetricLOWBASEHIGH
Required Retention Ratio20.0%12.5%7.5%
(=) Cash Required (M)1.811.130.68
Cash Retained (M)1.711.711.71
(-) Cash Required (M)-1.81-1.13-0.68
(=) Excess Retained (M)-0.100.581.03
(/) Shares Outstanding (M)50.4850.4850.48
(=) Excess Retained per Share0.000.010.02
LTM Dividend per Share0.150.150.15
(+) Excess Retained per Share0.000.010.02
(=) Adjusted Dividend0.140.160.17
WACC / Discount Rate9.25%9.25%9.25%
Growth Rate0.84%1.84%2.84%
Fair Value$1.72$2.16$2.66
Upside / Downside-93.24%-91.52%-89.54%

Multi-Stage Model: Projections

(USD in Millions)
MetricTTMDec-27Dec-28Dec-29Dec-30Dec-31Terminal
Net Income (M)9.059.229.399.569.749.9210.22
Payout Ratio81.09%82.87%84.65%86.44%88.22%90.00%92.50%
Projected Dividends (M)7.347.647.958.278.598.939.45

Multi-Stage Valuation

MetricLOWBASEHIGH
WACC / Discount Rate9.25%9.25%9.25%
Growth Rate0.84%1.84%2.84%
Year 1 PV (M)6.936.997.06
Year 2 PV (M)6.536.666.79
Year 3 PV (M)6.156.346.53
Year 4 PV (M)5.806.036.27
Year 5 PV (M)5.465.746.02
PV of Terminal Value (M)92.4697.14102.00
Equity Value (M)123.33128.90134.68
Shares Outstanding (M)50.4850.4850.48
Fair Value$2.44$2.55$2.67
Upside / Downside-90.40%-89.97%-89.52%

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