Definitive Analysis
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Definitive Analysis

Financial Statements

Ticker

Industry

Sector

Browave Corporation (3163.TWO)

Company Dividend Discount ModelIndustry: Communication EquipmentSector: Technology

Valuation Snapshot

Stable Growth$36.76 - $53.27$44.77
Multi-Stage$63.75 - $69.90$66.77
Blended Fair Value$55.77
Current Price$225.00
Upside-75.21%
DecisionDon't Buy

Dividend History & Growth Metrics (10Y)

Metric5Y CAGR10Y CAGR202420232022202120202019
DPS47.80%0.00%3.543.860.922.301.050.500.000.000.000.00
YoY Growth---8.30%320.00%-60.00%119.35%108.76%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%
Dividend Yield--2.05%3.67%1.63%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%

Stable Growth Model (Adjusted)

(USD in Millions except Per Share Data)
Net Income To Common (M)413.60
(-) Cash Dividends Paid (M)241.62
(=) Cash Retained (M)171.97
MetricLOWBASEHIGH
Required Retention Ratio20.0%12.5%7.5%
(=) Cash Required (M)82.7251.7031.02
Cash Retained (M)171.97171.97171.97
(-) Cash Required (M)-82.72-51.70-31.02
(=) Excess Retained (M)89.25120.27140.95
(/) Shares Outstanding (M)81.9981.9981.99
(=) Excess Retained per Share1.091.471.72
LTM Dividend per Share2.952.952.95
(+) Excess Retained per Share1.091.471.72
(=) Adjusted Dividend4.044.414.67
WACC / Discount Rate8.76%8.76%8.76%
Growth Rate-2.00%-1.00%0.00%
Fair Value$36.76$44.77$53.27
Upside / Downside-83.66%-80.10%-76.33%

Multi-Stage Model: Projections

(USD in Millions)
MetricTTMDec-27Dec-28Dec-29Dec-30Dec-31Terminal
Net Income (M)413.60409.46405.37401.31397.30393.33405.13
Payout Ratio58.42%64.74%71.05%77.37%83.68%90.00%92.50%
Projected Dividends (M)241.62265.07288.02310.49332.48353.99374.74

Multi-Stage Valuation

MetricLOWBASEHIGH
WACC / Discount Rate8.76%8.76%8.76%
Growth Rate-2.00%-1.00%0.00%
Year 1 PV (M)241.26243.72246.18
Year 2 PV (M)238.60243.49248.43
Year 3 PV (M)234.10241.34248.73
Year 4 PV (M)228.16237.62247.37
Year 5 PV (M)221.11232.62244.61
PV of Terminal Value (M)4,063.534,275.134,495.45
Equity Value (M)5,226.765,473.925,730.77
Shares Outstanding (M)81.9981.9981.99
Fair Value$63.75$66.77$69.90
Upside / Downside-71.67%-70.33%-68.93%

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