Definitive Analysis
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Definitive Analysis

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Arjo AB (publ) (ARJO-B.ST)

Company Dividend Discount ModelIndustry: Medical - DistributionSector: Healthcare

Valuation Snapshot

Stable Growth$29.77 - $64.19$42.51
Multi-Stage$40.95 - $44.91$42.89
Blended Fair Value$42.70
Current Price$32.96
Upside29.56%
DecisionDon't Buy

Dividend History & Growth Metrics (10Y)

Metric5Y CAGR10Y CAGR2024202320222021202020192018201720162015
DPS10.31%0.00%0.900.851.150.850.650.550.500.000.000.00
YoY Growth--5.60%-25.88%34.91%31.07%18.00%10.29%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%
Dividend Yield--2.43%1.68%2.84%1.07%1.00%1.11%1.46%0.00%0.00%0.00%

Stable Growth Model (Adjusted)

(USD in Millions except Per Share Data)
Net Income To Common (M)438.00
(-) Cash Dividends Paid (M)259.00
(=) Cash Retained (M)179.00
MetricLOWBASEHIGH
Required Retention Ratio20.0%12.5%7.5%
(=) Cash Required (M)87.6054.7532.85
Cash Retained (M)179.00179.00179.00
(-) Cash Required (M)-87.60-54.75-32.85
(=) Excess Retained (M)91.40124.25146.15
(/) Shares Outstanding (M)272.37272.37272.37
(=) Excess Retained per Share0.340.460.54
LTM Dividend per Share0.950.950.95
(+) Excess Retained per Share0.340.460.54
(=) Adjusted Dividend1.291.411.49
WACC / Discount Rate6.49%6.49%6.49%
Growth Rate2.08%3.08%4.08%
Fair Value$29.77$42.51$64.19
Upside / Downside-9.69%28.98%94.75%

Multi-Stage Model: Projections

(USD in Millions)
MetricTTMDec-27Dec-28Dec-29Dec-30Dec-31Terminal
Net Income (M)438.00451.50465.42479.77494.56509.81525.10
Payout Ratio59.13%65.31%71.48%77.65%83.83%90.00%92.50%
Projected Dividends (M)259.00294.86332.68372.56414.57458.83485.72

Multi-Stage Valuation

MetricLOWBASEHIGH
WACC / Discount Rate6.49%6.49%6.49%
Growth Rate2.08%3.08%4.08%
Year 1 PV (M)274.19276.88279.56
Year 2 PV (M)287.68293.34299.06
Year 3 PV (M)299.57308.46317.53
Year 4 PV (M)309.99322.32335.01
Year 5 PV (M)319.03334.97351.54
PV of Terminal Value (M)9,663.8510,146.5510,648.34
Equity Value (M)11,154.3211,682.5212,231.04
Shares Outstanding (M)272.37272.37272.37
Fair Value$40.95$42.89$44.91
Upside / Downside24.25%30.13%36.24%

High-Yield Dividend Screener

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