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Arjo AB (publ) (ARJO-B.ST)

Company Dividend Discount ModelIndustry: Medical - DistributionSector: Healthcare

Valuation Snapshot

Stable Growth$29.78 - $64.23$42.53
Multi-Stage$40.97 - $44.93$42.91
Blended Fair Value$42.72
Current Price$32.96
Upside29.61%
DecisionDon't Buy

Dividend History & Growth Metrics (10Y)

Metric5Y CAGR10Y CAGR2024202320222021202020192018201720162015
DPS10.31%0.00%0.900.851.150.850.650.550.500.000.000.00
YoY Growth--5.60%-25.88%34.91%31.07%18.00%10.29%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%
Dividend Yield--2.43%1.68%2.84%1.07%1.00%1.11%1.46%0.00%0.00%0.00%

Stable Growth Model (Adjusted)

(USD in Millions except Per Share Data)
Net Income To Common (M)438.00
(-) Cash Dividends Paid (M)259.00
(=) Cash Retained (M)179.00
MetricLOWBASEHIGH
Required Retention Ratio20.0%12.5%7.5%
(=) Cash Required (M)87.6054.7532.85
Cash Retained (M)179.00179.00179.00
(-) Cash Required (M)-87.60-54.75-32.85
(=) Excess Retained (M)91.40124.25146.15
(/) Shares Outstanding (M)272.37272.37272.37
(=) Excess Retained per Share0.340.460.54
LTM Dividend per Share0.950.950.95
(+) Excess Retained per Share0.340.460.54
(=) Adjusted Dividend1.291.411.49
WACC / Discount Rate6.49%6.49%6.49%
Growth Rate2.08%3.08%4.08%
Fair Value$29.78$42.53$64.23
Upside / Downside-9.66%29.03%94.86%

Multi-Stage Model: Projections

(USD in Millions)
MetricTTMDec-27Dec-28Dec-29Dec-30Dec-31Terminal
Net Income (M)438.00451.50465.42479.77494.56509.81525.10
Payout Ratio59.13%65.31%71.48%77.65%83.83%90.00%92.50%
Projected Dividends (M)259.00294.86332.68372.56414.57458.83485.72

Multi-Stage Valuation

MetricLOWBASEHIGH
WACC / Discount Rate6.49%6.49%6.49%
Growth Rate2.08%3.08%4.08%
Year 1 PV (M)274.19276.88279.57
Year 2 PV (M)287.68293.35299.07
Year 3 PV (M)299.59308.48317.54
Year 4 PV (M)310.01322.34335.03
Year 5 PV (M)319.06334.99351.56
PV of Terminal Value (M)9,668.5710,151.5010,653.54
Equity Value (M)11,159.1011,687.5412,236.31
Shares Outstanding (M)272.37272.37272.37
Fair Value$40.97$42.91$44.93
Upside / Downside24.30%30.19%36.30%

High-Yield Dividend Screener

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