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Sanok Rubber Company Spólka Akcyjna (SNK.WA)

Company Dividend Discount ModelIndustry: Auto - PartsSector: Consumer Cyclical

Valuation Snapshot

Stable Growth$52.56 - $249.24$115.40
Multi-Stage$36.41 - $39.80$38.08
Blended Fair Value$76.74
Current Price$22.50
Upside241.06%
DecisionBuy

Dividend History & Growth Metrics (10Y)

Metric5Y CAGR10Y CAGR2024202320222021202020192018201720162015
DPS2.20%-1.28%1.181.230.001.060.001.063.173.801.062.80
YoY Growth---4.22%0.00%-100.00%0.00%-100.00%-66.67%-16.67%260.00%-62.26%108.96%
Dividend Yield--5.62%5.83%0.00%7.92%0.00%11.49%12.24%10.39%1.76%4.87%

Stable Growth Model (Adjusted)

(USD in Millions except Per Share Data)
Net Income To Common (M)32.18
(-) Cash Dividends Paid (M)29.97
(=) Cash Retained (M)2.21
MetricLOWBASEHIGH
Required Retention Ratio20.0%12.5%7.5%
(=) Cash Required (M)6.444.022.41
Cash Retained (M)2.212.212.21
(-) Cash Required (M)-6.44-4.02-2.41
(=) Excess Retained (M)-4.23-1.82-0.21
(/) Shares Outstanding (M)25.4425.4425.44
(=) Excess Retained per Share-0.17-0.07-0.01
LTM Dividend per Share1.181.181.18
(+) Excess Retained per Share-0.17-0.07-0.01
(=) Adjusted Dividend1.011.111.17
WACC / Discount Rate6.54%6.54%6.54%
Growth Rate4.53%5.53%6.53%
Fair Value$52.56$115.40$249.24
Upside / Downside133.62%412.89%1,007.74%

Multi-Stage Model: Projections

(USD in Millions)
MetricTTMDec-27Dec-28Dec-29Dec-30Dec-31Terminal
Net Income (M)32.1833.9535.8337.8139.9042.1043.37
Payout Ratio93.14%92.51%91.89%91.26%90.63%90.00%92.50%
Projected Dividends (M)29.9731.4132.9234.5036.1637.8940.11

Multi-Stage Valuation

MetricLOWBASEHIGH
WACC / Discount Rate6.54%6.54%6.54%
Growth Rate4.53%5.53%6.53%
Year 1 PV (M)29.2029.4829.76
Year 2 PV (M)28.4629.0129.56
Year 3 PV (M)27.7328.5329.35
Year 4 PV (M)27.0228.0729.15
Year 5 PV (M)26.3227.6128.94
PV of Terminal Value (M)787.57825.97865.86
Equity Value (M)926.31968.671,012.62
Shares Outstanding (M)25.4425.4425.44
Fair Value$36.41$38.08$39.80
Upside / Downside61.83%69.23%76.90%

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