Definitive Analysis
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B. Riley Financial, Inc. 5.25% Senior Notes due 2028 (RILYZ)

Company Dividend Discount ModelIndustry: Investment - Banking & Investment ServicesSector: Financial Services

Valuation Snapshot

Stable Growth$23.96 - $63.56$36.64
Multi-Stage$17.02 - $18.57$17.78
Blended Fair Value$27.21
Current Price$5.98
Upside355.01%
DecisionBuy

Dividend History & Growth Metrics (10Y)

Metric5Y CAGR10Y CAGR2024202320222021202020192018201720162015
DPS-3.89%53.03%1.114.633.9211.391.271.350.740.550.180.17
YoY Growth---76.09%18.12%-65.59%794.86%-5.70%81.35%35.39%214.12%2.20%989.56%
Dividend Yield--28.60%20.60%13.80%16.28%2.26%7.33%4.38%2.82%1.17%1.63%

Stable Growth Model (Adjusted)

(USD in Millions except Per Share Data)
Net Income To Common (M)31.13
(-) Cash Dividends Paid (M)17.72
(=) Cash Retained (M)13.42
MetricLOWBASEHIGH
Required Retention Ratio20.0%12.5%7.5%
(=) Cash Required (M)6.233.892.33
Cash Retained (M)13.4213.4213.42
(-) Cash Required (M)-6.23-3.89-2.33
(=) Excess Retained (M)7.199.5211.08
(/) Shares Outstanding (M)30.4830.4830.48
(=) Excess Retained per Share0.240.310.36
LTM Dividend per Share0.580.580.58
(+) Excess Retained per Share0.240.310.36
(=) Adjusted Dividend0.820.890.94
WACC / Discount Rate9.10%9.10%9.10%
Growth Rate5.50%6.50%7.50%
Fair Value$23.96$36.64$63.56
Upside / Downside300.68%512.68%962.88%

Multi-Stage Model: Projections

(USD in Millions)
MetricTTMDec-27Dec-28Dec-29Dec-30Dec-31Terminal
Net Income (M)31.1333.1635.3137.6140.0542.6543.93
Payout Ratio56.91%63.53%70.14%76.76%83.38%90.00%92.50%
Projected Dividends (M)17.7221.0624.7728.8733.4038.3940.64

Multi-Stage Valuation

MetricLOWBASEHIGH
WACC / Discount Rate9.10%9.10%9.10%
Growth Rate5.50%6.50%7.50%
Year 1 PV (M)19.1319.3119.49
Year 2 PV (M)20.4220.8121.20
Year 3 PV (M)21.6122.2322.86
Year 4 PV (M)22.7023.5724.47
Year 5 PV (M)23.6924.8426.03
PV of Terminal Value (M)411.33431.20451.83
Equity Value (M)518.88541.96565.88
Shares Outstanding (M)30.4830.4830.48
Fair Value$17.02$17.78$18.57
Upside / Downside184.68%197.34%210.47%

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