Definitive Analysis
Definitive Analysis
Financial Statements
Periods / Units
Fundamentals
Valuations
Miscellaneous
Analysis Mode
Full Access
See Pricing Start Trial

The Gap, Inc. (GPS)

Company Dividend Discount ModelIndustry: Apparel - RetailSector: Consumer Cyclical

Valuation Snapshot

Stable Growth$13.51 - $18.92$16.21
Multi-Stage$24.08 - $26.45$25.24
Blended Fair Value$20.72
Current Price$20.16
Upside2.79%
DecisionDon't Buy

Dividend History & Growth Metrics (10Y)

Metric5Y CAGR10Y CAGR2025202420232022202120202019201820172016
DPS-9.17%-5.18%0.590.580.580.590.000.950.980.950.960.99
YoY Growth--1.35%0.91%-2.65%0.00%-100.00%-2.41%3.32%-1.63%-2.65%-1.57%
Dividend Yield--2.93%2.70%6.01%4.77%0.00%12.19%3.77%3.29%3.67%4.27%

Stable Growth Model (Adjusted)

(USD in Millions except Per Share Data)
Net Income To Common (M)851.00
(-) Cash Dividends Paid (M)353.00
(=) Cash Retained (M)498.00
MetricLOWBASEHIGH
Required Retention Ratio20.0%12.5%7.5%
(=) Cash Required (M)170.20106.3863.83
Cash Retained (M)498.00498.00498.00
(-) Cash Required (M)-170.20-106.38-63.83
(=) Excess Retained (M)327.80391.63434.18
(/) Shares Outstanding (M)381.25381.25381.25
(=) Excess Retained per Share0.861.031.14
LTM Dividend per Share0.930.930.93
(+) Excess Retained per Share0.861.031.14
(=) Adjusted Dividend1.791.952.06
WACC / Discount Rate9.10%9.10%9.10%
Growth Rate-3.64%-2.64%-1.64%
Fair Value$13.51$16.21$18.92
Upside / Downside-32.97%-19.61%-6.15%

Multi-Stage Model: Projections

(USD in Millions)
MetricTTMDec-27Dec-28Dec-29Dec-30Dec-31Terminal
Net Income (M)851.00828.57806.73785.46764.76744.60766.94
Payout Ratio41.48%51.18%60.89%70.59%80.30%90.00%92.50%
Projected Dividends (M)353.00424.10491.20554.47614.07670.14709.41

Multi-Stage Valuation

MetricLOWBASEHIGH
WACC / Discount Rate9.10%9.10%9.10%
Growth Rate-3.64%-2.64%-1.64%
Year 1 PV (M)384.74388.73392.72
Year 2 PV (M)404.26412.69421.21
Year 3 PV (M)413.98427.00440.30
Year 4 PV (M)415.93433.46451.55
Year 5 PV (M)411.78433.59456.32
PV of Terminal Value (M)7,148.447,527.127,921.69
Equity Value (M)9,179.129,622.6010,083.79
Shares Outstanding (M)381.25381.25381.25
Fair Value$24.08$25.24$26.45
Upside / Downside19.43%25.20%31.20%

High-Yield Dividend Screener

« Prev Page 22 of 30 Next »
Ticker Company Dividend Yield % Dividend Per Share Payout Ratio %
0K58.LNOV Inc.1.29%$0.2015.83%
CONConcentra Group Holdings Parent, Inc.1.29%$0.2520.88%
CSGSCSG Systems International, Inc.1.28%$0.9832.90%
CSLCarlisle Companies Incorporated1.28%$4.2023.23%
JKHYJack Henry & Associates, Inc.1.28%$2.2934.69%
MSAMSA Safety Incorporated1.28%$2.0829.19%
PAHCPhibro Animal Health Corporation1.28%$0.4828.68%
WMGWarner Music Group Corp.1.28%$0.3961.67%
0K4C.LNRG Energy, Inc.1.27%$2.1028.38%
DCIDonaldson Company, Inc.1.27%$1.1435.14%
TEXTerex Corporation1.27%$0.7029.49%
BCCBoise Cascade Company1.26%$0.9318.09%
BCMLBayCom Corp1.25%$0.3616.94%
MSCIMSCI Inc.1.25%$7.0744.68%
PRMWPrimo Water Corporation1.25%$0.3561.28%
ESIElement Solutions Inc1.24%$0.3232.50%
LECOLincoln Electric Holdings, Inc.1.23%$3.0031.76%
MCRIMonarch Casino & Resort, Inc.1.23%$1.1826.69%
PBI-PBPitney Bowes Inc. NT 431.23%$0.2561.37%
RJFRaymond James Financial, Inc.1.23%$2.0119.48%
WFRDWeatherford International plc1.23%$1.0017.78%
AMPAmeriprise Financial, Inc.1.22%$6.0416.30%
BRCBrady Corporation1.22%$0.9623.25%
GCBCGreene County Bancorp, Inc.1.21%$0.2613.26%
RICKRCI Hospitality Holdings, Inc.1.21%$0.2815.00%
ABCAmerisourceBergen Corporation1.20%$2.2528.12%
EQBKEquity Bancshares, Inc.1.20%$0.5458.24%
HMNFHMN Financial, Inc.1.20%$0.3428.27%
IBPInstalled Building Products, Inc.1.20%$3.2234.18%
CHHChoice Hotels International, Inc.1.19%$1.1513.93%
EQCEquity Commonwealth1.19%$0.028.60%
FLSFlowserve Corporation1.19%$0.8424.35%
ICEIntercontinental Exchange, Inc.1.19%$1.9033.71%
LNNLindsay Corporation1.19%$1.4421.27%
INGMIngram Micro Holding Corporation1.18%$0.2520.42%
RBARB Global, Inc.1.18%$1.2252.13%
SEICSEI Investments Company1.18%$0.9817.66%
HEESH&E Equipment Services, Inc.1.17%$1.1144.29%
WSFSWSFS Financial Corporation1.17%$0.6413.17%
ASTEAstec Industries, Inc.1.16%$0.5224.84%
GFGDThe Growth for Good Acquisition Corporation1.16%$0.1242.35%
HUBGHub Group, Inc.1.16%$0.5028.58%
NWSNews Corporation1.16%$0.3516.79%
FCXFreeport-McMoRan Inc.1.15%$0.6041.87%
GFFGriffon Corporation1.15%$0.8677.66%
LHLabcorp Holdings Inc.1.15%$2.8928.24%
YAFIXAMG Funds - AMG Yacktman Focused Fund1.15%$0.2227.84%
0L1G.LSS&C Technologies Holdings, Inc.1.14%$0.9929.41%
0M29.LXylem Inc.1.14%$1.5640.08%
DHID.R. Horton, Inc.1.14%$1.6613.80%