Definitive Analysis
Definitive Analysis

Financial Statements

Fundamentals

Valuations

Miscellaneous

Analysis Mode

Search

Academy Sports and Outdoors, Inc. (ASO)

Company Dividend Discount ModelIndustry: Specialty RetailSector: Consumer Cyclical

Valuation Snapshot

Stable Growth$38.78 - $55.81$47.09
Multi-Stage$60.84 - $66.94$63.83
Blended Fair Value$55.46
Current Price$47.89
Upside15.81%
DecisionDon't Buy

Dividend History & Growth Metrics (10Y)

Metric5Y CAGR10Y CAGR20252024202320222021202020192018
DPS0.00%0.00%0.460.400.360.003.740.000.000.000.000.00
YoY Growth--15.60%10.49%0.00%-100.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%
Dividend Yield--1.17%0.69%0.57%0.00%12.15%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%

Stable Growth Model (Adjusted)

(USD in Millions except Per Share Data)
Net Income To Common (M)376.71
(-) Cash Dividends Paid (M)24.99
(=) Cash Retained (M)351.73
MetricLOWBASEHIGH
Required Retention Ratio20.0%12.5%7.5%
(=) Cash Required (M)75.3447.0928.25
Cash Retained (M)351.73351.73351.73
(-) Cash Required (M)-75.34-47.09-28.25
(=) Excess Retained (M)276.38304.64323.47
(/) Shares Outstanding (M)68.6368.6368.63
(=) Excess Retained per Share4.034.444.71
LTM Dividend per Share0.360.360.36
(+) Excess Retained per Share4.034.444.71
(=) Adjusted Dividend4.394.805.08
WACC / Discount Rate9.10%9.10%9.10%
Growth Rate-2.00%-1.00%0.00%
Fair Value$38.78$47.09$55.81
Upside / Downside-19.03%-1.67%16.54%

Multi-Stage Model: Projections

(USD in Millions)
MetricTTMDec-27Dec-28Dec-29Dec-30Dec-31Terminal
Net Income (M)376.71372.94369.21365.52361.87358.25369.00
Payout Ratio6.63%23.31%39.98%56.65%73.33%90.00%92.50%
Projected Dividends (M)24.9986.92147.61207.08265.34322.42341.32

Multi-Stage Valuation

MetricLOWBASEHIGH
WACC / Discount Rate9.10%9.10%9.10%
Growth Rate-2.00%-1.00%0.00%
Year 1 PV (M)78.8779.6780.48
Year 2 PV (M)121.52124.02126.54
Year 3 PV (M)154.69159.47164.35
Year 4 PV (M)179.85187.30194.99
Year 5 PV (M)198.29208.61219.36
PV of Terminal Value (M)3,442.283,621.533,808.17
Equity Value (M)4,175.504,380.614,593.88
Shares Outstanding (M)68.6368.6368.63
Fair Value$60.84$63.83$66.94
Upside / Downside27.05%33.29%39.78%

High-Yield Dividend Screener

« Prev Page 22 of 30 Next »
Ticker Company Dividend Yield % Dividend Per Share Payout Ratio %
0K58.LNOV Inc.1.29%$0.2015.83%
CONConcentra Group Holdings Parent, Inc.1.29%$0.2520.88%
CSGSCSG Systems International, Inc.1.28%$0.9832.90%
CSLCarlisle Companies Incorporated1.28%$4.2023.23%
JKHYJack Henry & Associates, Inc.1.28%$2.2934.69%
MSAMSA Safety Incorporated1.28%$2.0829.19%
PAHCPhibro Animal Health Corporation1.28%$0.4828.68%
WMGWarner Music Group Corp.1.28%$0.3961.67%
0K4C.LNRG Energy, Inc.1.27%$2.1028.38%
DCIDonaldson Company, Inc.1.27%$1.1435.14%
TEXTerex Corporation1.27%$0.7029.49%
BCCBoise Cascade Company1.26%$0.9318.09%
BCMLBayCom Corp1.25%$0.3616.94%
MSCIMSCI Inc.1.25%$7.0744.68%
PRMWPrimo Water Corporation1.25%$0.3561.28%
ESIElement Solutions Inc1.24%$0.3232.50%
LECOLincoln Electric Holdings, Inc.1.23%$3.0031.76%
MCRIMonarch Casino & Resort, Inc.1.23%$1.1826.69%
PBI-PBPitney Bowes Inc. NT 431.23%$0.2561.37%
RJFRaymond James Financial, Inc.1.23%$2.0119.48%
WFRDWeatherford International plc1.23%$1.0017.78%
AMPAmeriprise Financial, Inc.1.22%$6.0416.30%
BRCBrady Corporation1.22%$0.9623.25%
GCBCGreene County Bancorp, Inc.1.21%$0.2613.26%
RICKRCI Hospitality Holdings, Inc.1.21%$0.2815.00%
ABCAmerisourceBergen Corporation1.20%$2.2528.12%
EQBKEquity Bancshares, Inc.1.20%$0.5458.24%
HMNFHMN Financial, Inc.1.20%$0.3428.27%
IBPInstalled Building Products, Inc.1.20%$3.2234.18%
CHHChoice Hotels International, Inc.1.19%$1.1513.93%
EQCEquity Commonwealth1.19%$0.028.60%
FLSFlowserve Corporation1.19%$0.8424.35%
ICEIntercontinental Exchange, Inc.1.19%$1.9033.71%
LNNLindsay Corporation1.19%$1.4421.27%
INGMIngram Micro Holding Corporation1.18%$0.2520.42%
RBARB Global, Inc.1.18%$1.2252.13%
SEICSEI Investments Company1.18%$0.9817.66%
HEESH&E Equipment Services, Inc.1.17%$1.1144.29%
WSFSWSFS Financial Corporation1.17%$0.6413.17%
ASTEAstec Industries, Inc.1.16%$0.5224.84%
GFGDThe Growth for Good Acquisition Corporation1.16%$0.1242.35%
HUBGHub Group, Inc.1.16%$0.5028.58%
NWSNews Corporation1.16%$0.3516.79%
FCXFreeport-McMoRan Inc.1.15%$0.6041.87%
GFFGriffon Corporation1.15%$0.8677.66%
LHLabcorp Holdings Inc.1.15%$2.8928.24%
YAFIXAMG Funds - AMG Yacktman Focused Fund1.15%$0.2227.84%
0L1G.LSS&C Technologies Holdings, Inc.1.14%$0.9929.41%
0M29.LXylem Inc.1.14%$1.5640.08%
DHID.R. Horton, Inc.1.14%$1.6613.80%