Definitive Analysis
| Stable Growth | $8,148.93 - $18,114.68 | $11,762.10 |
| Multi-Stage | $8,895.82 - $9,752.24 | $9,316.00 |
| Blended Fair Value | $10,539.05 | |
| Current Price | $2,515.50 | |
| Upside | 318.96% | |
| Decision | Buy | |
| Metric | 5Y CAGR | 10Y CAGR | 2025 | 2024 | 2023 | 2022 | 2021 | 2020 | 2019 | 2018 | 2017 | 2016 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| DPS | -6.55% | 4.66% | 107.20 | 88.88 | 68.97 | 58.52 | 58.54 | 150.45 | 150.46 | 150.38 | 151.90 | 115.78 |
| YoY Growth | - | - | 20.61% | 28.87% | 17.85% | -0.03% | -61.09% | -0.01% | 0.05% | -1.00% | 31.20% | 70.26% |
| Dividend Yield | - | - | 4.26% | 2.62% | 2.55% | 2.43% | 2.67% | 6.71% | 5.50% | 4.66% | 4.01% | 3.33% |
| Net Income To Common (M) | 308,904.00 |
| (-) Cash Dividends Paid (M) | 83,915.00 |
| (=) Cash Retained (M) | 224,989.00 |
| Metric | LOW | BASE | HIGH |
|---|---|---|---|
| Required Retention Ratio | 20.0% | 12.5% | 7.5% |
| (=) Cash Required (M) | 61,780.80 | 38,613.00 | 23,167.80 |
| Cash Retained (M) | 224,989.00 | 224,989.00 | 224,989.00 |
| (-) Cash Required (M) | -61,780.80 | -38,613.00 | -23,167.80 |
| (=) Excess Retained (M) | 163,208.20 | 186,376.00 | 201,821.20 |
| (/) Shares Outstanding (M) | 733.63 | 733.63 | 733.63 |
| (=) Excess Retained per Share | 222.47 | 254.05 | 275.10 |
| LTM Dividend per Share | 114.38 | 114.38 | 114.38 |
| (+) Excess Retained per Share | 222.47 | 254.05 | 275.10 |
| (=) Adjusted Dividend | 336.85 | 368.43 | 389.48 |
| WACC / Discount Rate | 7.25% | 7.25% | 7.25% |
| Growth Rate | 3.00% | 4.00% | 5.00% |
| Fair Value | $8,148.93 | $11,762.10 | $18,114.68 |
| Upside / Downside | 223.95% | 367.59% | 620.12% |
| Metric | TTM | Dec-27 | Dec-28 | Dec-29 | Dec-30 | Dec-31 | Terminal |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Net Income (M) | 308,904.00 | 321,245.95 | 334,081.00 | 347,428.87 | 361,310.04 | 375,745.81 | 387,018.18 |
| Payout Ratio | 27.17% | 39.73% | 52.30% | 64.87% | 77.43% | 90.00% | 92.50% |
| Projected Dividends (M) | 83,915.00 | 127,638.46 | 174,721.82 | 225,363.76 | 279,773.49 | 338,171.23 | 357,991.82 |
| Metric | LOW | BASE | HIGH |
|---|---|---|---|
| WACC / Discount Rate | 7.25% | 7.25% | 7.25% |
| Growth Rate | 3.00% | 4.00% | 5.00% |
| Year 1 PV (M) | 117,862.64 | 119,006.99 | 120,151.34 |
| Year 2 PV (M) | 148,982.88 | 151,889.92 | 154,825.06 |
| Year 3 PV (M) | 177,446.69 | 182,665.62 | 187,985.88 |
| Year 4 PV (M) | 203,415.94 | 211,431.75 | 219,682.15 |
| Year 5 PV (M) | 227,043.83 | 238,281.98 | 249,960.81 |
| PV of Terminal Value (M) | 5,651,448.91 | 5,931,182.83 | 6,221,885.65 |
| Equity Value (M) | 6,526,200.89 | 6,834,459.09 | 7,154,490.89 |
| Shares Outstanding (M) | 733.63 | 733.63 | 733.63 |
| Fair Value | $8,895.82 | $9,316.00 | $9,752.24 |
| Upside / Downside | 253.64% | 270.34% | 287.69% |
| Ticker ⇵ | Company ⇵ | Dividend Yield % ▼ | Dividend Per Share ⇵ | Payout Ratio % ⇵ |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0K58.L | NOV Inc. | 1.29% | $0.20 | 15.83% |
| CON | Concentra Group Holdings Parent, Inc. | 1.29% | $0.25 | 20.88% |
| CSGS | CSG Systems International, Inc. | 1.28% | $0.98 | 32.90% |
| CSL | Carlisle Companies Incorporated | 1.28% | $4.20 | 23.23% |
| JKHY | Jack Henry & Associates, Inc. | 1.28% | $2.29 | 34.69% |
| MSA | MSA Safety Incorporated | 1.28% | $2.08 | 29.19% |
| PAHC | Phibro Animal Health Corporation | 1.28% | $0.48 | 28.68% |
| WMG | Warner Music Group Corp. | 1.28% | $0.39 | 61.67% |
| 0K4C.L | NRG Energy, Inc. | 1.27% | $2.10 | 28.38% |
| DCI | Donaldson Company, Inc. | 1.27% | $1.14 | 35.14% |
| TEX | Terex Corporation | 1.27% | $0.70 | 29.49% |
| BCC | Boise Cascade Company | 1.26% | $0.93 | 18.09% |
| BCML | BayCom Corp | 1.25% | $0.36 | 16.94% |
| MSCI | MSCI Inc. | 1.25% | $7.07 | 44.68% |
| PRMW | Primo Water Corporation | 1.25% | $0.35 | 61.28% |
| ESI | Element Solutions Inc | 1.24% | $0.32 | 32.50% |
| LECO | Lincoln Electric Holdings, Inc. | 1.23% | $3.00 | 31.76% |
| MCRI | Monarch Casino & Resort, Inc. | 1.23% | $1.18 | 26.69% |
| PBI-PB | Pitney Bowes Inc. NT 43 | 1.23% | $0.25 | 61.37% |
| RJF | Raymond James Financial, Inc. | 1.23% | $2.01 | 19.48% |
| WFRD | Weatherford International plc | 1.23% | $1.00 | 17.78% |
| AMP | Ameriprise Financial, Inc. | 1.22% | $6.04 | 16.30% |
| BRC | Brady Corporation | 1.22% | $0.96 | 23.25% |
| GCBC | Greene County Bancorp, Inc. | 1.21% | $0.26 | 13.26% |
| RICK | RCI Hospitality Holdings, Inc. | 1.21% | $0.28 | 15.00% |
| ABC | AmerisourceBergen Corporation | 1.20% | $2.25 | 28.12% |
| EQBK | Equity Bancshares, Inc. | 1.20% | $0.54 | 58.24% |
| HMNF | HMN Financial, Inc. | 1.20% | $0.34 | 28.27% |
| IBP | Installed Building Products, Inc. | 1.20% | $3.22 | 34.18% |
| CHH | Choice Hotels International, Inc. | 1.19% | $1.15 | 13.93% |
| EQC | Equity Commonwealth | 1.19% | $0.02 | 8.60% |
| FLS | Flowserve Corporation | 1.19% | $0.84 | 24.35% |
| ICE | Intercontinental Exchange, Inc. | 1.19% | $1.90 | 33.71% |
| LNN | Lindsay Corporation | 1.19% | $1.44 | 21.27% |
| INGM | Ingram Micro Holding Corporation | 1.18% | $0.25 | 20.42% |
| RBA | RB Global, Inc. | 1.18% | $1.22 | 52.13% |
| SEIC | SEI Investments Company | 1.18% | $0.98 | 17.66% |
| HEES | H&E Equipment Services, Inc. | 1.17% | $1.11 | 44.29% |
| WSFS | WSFS Financial Corporation | 1.17% | $0.64 | 13.17% |
| ASTE | Astec Industries, Inc. | 1.16% | $0.52 | 24.84% |
| GFGD | The Growth for Good Acquisition Corporation | 1.16% | $0.12 | 42.35% |
| HUBG | Hub Group, Inc. | 1.16% | $0.50 | 28.58% |
| NWS | News Corporation | 1.16% | $0.35 | 16.79% |
| FCX | Freeport-McMoRan Inc. | 1.15% | $0.60 | 41.87% |
| GFF | Griffon Corporation | 1.15% | $0.86 | 77.66% |
| LH | Labcorp Holdings Inc. | 1.15% | $2.89 | 28.24% |
| YAFIX | AMG Funds - AMG Yacktman Focused Fund | 1.15% | $0.22 | 27.84% |
| 0L1G.L | SS&C Technologies Holdings, Inc. | 1.14% | $0.99 | 29.41% |
| 0M29.L | Xylem Inc. | 1.14% | $1.56 | 40.08% |
| DHI | D.R. Horton, Inc. | 1.14% | $1.66 | 13.80% |