Definitive Analysis
Loading...
Definitive Analysis

Financial Statements

Ticker

Industry

Sector

Forest Packaging Group Co.,Ltd. (605500.SS)

Company Dividend Discount ModelIndustry: Packaging & ContainersSector: Consumer Cyclical

Valuation Snapshot

Stable Growth$1.99 - $3.09$2.50
Multi-Stage$4.78 - $5.25$5.01
Blended Fair Value$3.75
Current Price$9.13
Upside-58.90%
DecisionDon't Buy

Dividend History & Growth Metrics (10Y)

Metric5Y CAGR10Y CAGR202420232022202120202019201820172016
DPS2.15%0.00%0.180.110.210.170.110.160.170.190.060.00
YoY Growth--64.52%-47.95%22.21%52.02%-30.10%-7.75%-7.43%228.74%0.00%0.00%
Dividend Yield--2.52%1.50%2.77%2.15%1.17%1.20%1.30%0.00%0.00%0.00%

Stable Growth Model (Adjusted)

(USD in Millions except Per Share Data)
Net Income To Common (M)88.20
(-) Cash Dividends Paid (M)78.70
(=) Cash Retained (M)9.50
MetricLOWBASEHIGH
Required Retention Ratio20.0%12.5%7.5%
(=) Cash Required (M)17.6411.036.62
Cash Retained (M)9.509.509.50
(-) Cash Required (M)-17.64-11.03-6.62
(=) Excess Retained (M)-8.14-1.532.88
(/) Shares Outstanding (M)418.24418.24418.24
(=) Excess Retained per Share-0.020.000.01
LTM Dividend per Share0.190.190.19
(+) Excess Retained per Share-0.020.000.01
(=) Adjusted Dividend0.170.180.20
WACC / Discount Rate6.32%6.32%6.32%
Growth Rate-2.00%-1.00%0.00%
Fair Value$1.99$2.50$3.09
Upside / Downside-78.23%-72.65%-66.18%

Multi-Stage Model: Projections

(USD in Millions)
MetricTTMDec-27Dec-28Dec-29Dec-30Dec-31Terminal
Net Income (M)88.2087.3286.4585.5884.7383.8886.40
Payout Ratio89.23%89.38%89.54%89.69%89.85%90.00%92.50%
Projected Dividends (M)78.7078.0577.4076.7676.1275.4979.92

Multi-Stage Valuation

MetricLOWBASEHIGH
WACC / Discount Rate6.32%6.32%6.32%
Growth Rate-2.00%-1.00%0.00%
Year 1 PV (M)72.6773.4174.15
Year 2 PV (M)67.1068.4869.87
Year 3 PV (M)61.9663.8865.83
Year 4 PV (M)57.2159.5862.03
Year 5 PV (M)52.8355.5858.44
PV of Terminal Value (M)1,685.871,773.651,865.06
Equity Value (M)1,997.642,094.582,195.38
Shares Outstanding (M)418.24418.24418.24
Fair Value$4.78$5.01$5.25
Upside / Downside-47.69%-45.15%-42.51%

High-Yield Dividend Screener

« Prev Page 22 of 30 Next »
Ticker Company Dividend Yield % Dividend Per Share Payout Ratio %
0K58.LNOV Inc.1.29%$0.2015.83%
CONConcentra Group Holdings Parent, Inc.1.29%$0.2520.88%
CSGSCSG Systems International, Inc.1.28%$0.9832.90%
CSLCarlisle Companies Incorporated1.28%$4.2023.23%
JKHYJack Henry & Associates, Inc.1.28%$2.2934.69%
MSAMSA Safety Incorporated1.28%$2.0829.19%
PAHCPhibro Animal Health Corporation1.28%$0.4828.68%
WMGWarner Music Group Corp.1.28%$0.3961.67%
0K4C.LNRG Energy, Inc.1.27%$2.1028.38%
DCIDonaldson Company, Inc.1.27%$1.1435.14%
TEXTerex Corporation1.27%$0.7029.49%
BCCBoise Cascade Company1.26%$0.9318.09%
BCMLBayCom Corp1.25%$0.3616.94%
MSCIMSCI Inc.1.25%$7.0744.68%
PRMWPrimo Water Corporation1.25%$0.3561.28%
ESIElement Solutions Inc1.24%$0.3232.50%
LECOLincoln Electric Holdings, Inc.1.23%$3.0031.76%
MCRIMonarch Casino & Resort, Inc.1.23%$1.1826.69%
PBI-PBPitney Bowes Inc. NT 431.23%$0.2561.37%
RJFRaymond James Financial, Inc.1.23%$2.0119.48%
WFRDWeatherford International plc1.23%$1.0017.78%
AMPAmeriprise Financial, Inc.1.22%$6.0416.30%
BRCBrady Corporation1.22%$0.9623.25%
GCBCGreene County Bancorp, Inc.1.21%$0.2613.26%
RICKRCI Hospitality Holdings, Inc.1.21%$0.2815.00%
ABCAmerisourceBergen Corporation1.20%$2.2528.12%
EQBKEquity Bancshares, Inc.1.20%$0.5458.24%
HMNFHMN Financial, Inc.1.20%$0.3428.27%
IBPInstalled Building Products, Inc.1.20%$3.2234.18%
CHHChoice Hotels International, Inc.1.19%$1.1513.93%
EQCEquity Commonwealth1.19%$0.028.60%
FLSFlowserve Corporation1.19%$0.8424.35%
ICEIntercontinental Exchange, Inc.1.19%$1.9033.71%
LNNLindsay Corporation1.19%$1.4421.27%
INGMIngram Micro Holding Corporation1.18%$0.2520.42%
RBARB Global, Inc.1.18%$1.2252.13%
SEICSEI Investments Company1.18%$0.9817.66%
HEESH&E Equipment Services, Inc.1.17%$1.1144.29%
WSFSWSFS Financial Corporation1.17%$0.6413.17%
ASTEAstec Industries, Inc.1.16%$0.5224.84%
GFGDThe Growth for Good Acquisition Corporation1.16%$0.1242.35%
HUBGHub Group, Inc.1.16%$0.5028.58%
NWSNews Corporation1.16%$0.3516.79%
FCXFreeport-McMoRan Inc.1.15%$0.6041.87%
GFFGriffon Corporation1.15%$0.8677.66%
LHLabcorp Holdings Inc.1.15%$2.8928.24%
YAFIXAMG Funds - AMG Yacktman Focused Fund1.15%$0.2227.84%
0L1G.LSS&C Technologies Holdings, Inc.1.14%$0.9929.41%
0M29.LXylem Inc.1.14%$1.5640.08%
DHID.R. Horton, Inc.1.14%$1.6613.80%