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Impro Precision Industries Limited (1286.HK)

Company Dividend Discount ModelIndustry: Industrial - MachinerySector: Industrials

Valuation Snapshot

Stable Growth$7.53 - $12.35$9.68
Multi-Stage$14.81 - $16.28$15.53
Blended Fair Value$12.61
Current Price$2.95
Upside327.33%
DecisionBuy

Dividend History & Growth Metrics (10Y)

Metric5Y CAGR10Y CAGR2024202320222021202020192018201720162015
DPS11.18%0.00%0.160.160.150.050.060.090.050.060.030.00
YoY Growth--0.09%5.39%223.40%-16.07%-40.66%76.85%-14.83%136.00%0.00%0.00%
Dividend Yield--8.21%7.04%6.83%2.54%2.24%2.94%1.77%2.08%0.88%0.00%

Stable Growth Model (Adjusted)

(USD in Millions except Per Share Data)
Net Income To Common (M)1,272.50
(-) Cash Dividends Paid (M)603.87
(=) Cash Retained (M)668.63
MetricLOWBASEHIGH
Required Retention Ratio20.0%12.5%7.5%
(=) Cash Required (M)254.50159.0695.44
Cash Retained (M)668.63668.63668.63
(-) Cash Required (M)-254.50-159.06-95.44
(=) Excess Retained (M)414.13509.57573.19
(/) Shares Outstanding (M)1,887.161,887.161,887.16
(=) Excess Retained per Share0.220.270.30
LTM Dividend per Share0.320.320.32
(+) Excess Retained per Share0.220.270.30
(=) Adjusted Dividend0.540.590.62
WACC / Discount Rate6.54%6.54%6.54%
Growth Rate-0.58%0.42%1.42%
Fair Value$7.53$9.68$12.35
Upside / Downside155.27%228.07%318.66%

Multi-Stage Model: Projections

(USD in Millions)
MetricTTMDec-27Dec-28Dec-29Dec-30Dec-31Terminal
Net Income (M)1,272.501,277.831,283.191,288.571,293.971,299.401,338.38
Payout Ratio47.46%55.96%64.47%72.98%81.49%90.00%92.50%
Projected Dividends (M)603.87715.13827.31940.431,054.471,169.461,238.00

Multi-Stage Valuation

MetricLOWBASEHIGH
WACC / Discount Rate6.54%6.54%6.54%
Growth Rate-0.58%0.42%1.42%
Year 1 PV (M)664.54671.23677.91
Year 2 PV (M)714.40728.85743.44
Year 3 PV (M)754.63777.63801.09
Year 4 PV (M)786.29818.40851.49
Year 5 PV (M)810.34851.92895.19
PV of Terminal Value (M)24,224.9125,467.9826,761.58
Equity Value (M)27,955.1029,316.0130,730.70
Shares Outstanding (M)1,887.161,887.161,887.16
Fair Value$14.81$15.53$16.28
Upside / Downside402.15%426.59%452.00%

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