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S.A. Catana Group (0OGG.L)

Company Dividend Discount ModelIndustry: Apparel - RetailSector: Consumer Cyclical

Valuation Snapshot

Stable Growth$64.90 - $314.88$139.31
Multi-Stage$34.70 - $37.97$36.31
Blended Fair Value$87.81
Current Price$5.05
Upside1,638.79%
DecisionBuy

Dividend History & Growth Metrics (10Y)

Metric5Y CAGR10Y CAGR2024202320222021202020192018201720162015
DPS0.00%0.00%0.150.150.130.000.000.000.000.000.000.00
YoY Growth--0.09%12.22%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%
Dividend Yield--2.90%2.06%2.17%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%

Stable Growth Model (Adjusted)

(USD in Millions except Per Share Data)
Net Income To Common (M)47.09
(-) Cash Dividends Paid (M)10.54
(=) Cash Retained (M)36.56
MetricLOWBASEHIGH
Required Retention Ratio20.0%12.5%7.5%
(=) Cash Required (M)9.425.893.53
Cash Retained (M)36.5636.5636.56
(-) Cash Required (M)-9.42-5.89-3.53
(=) Excess Retained (M)27.1430.6733.02
(/) Shares Outstanding (M)29.7429.7429.74
(=) Excess Retained per Share0.911.031.11
LTM Dividend per Share0.350.350.35
(+) Excess Retained per Share0.911.031.11
(=) Adjusted Dividend1.271.391.46
WACC / Discount Rate7.56%7.56%7.56%
Growth Rate5.50%6.50%7.50%
Fair Value$64.90$139.31$314.88
Upside / Downside1,185.09%2,658.61%6,135.21%

Multi-Stage Model: Projections

(USD in Millions)
MetricTTMDec-27Dec-28Dec-29Dec-30Dec-31Terminal
Net Income (M)47.0950.1553.4156.8860.5864.5266.45
Payout Ratio22.37%35.90%49.42%62.95%76.47%90.00%92.50%
Projected Dividends (M)10.5418.0026.4035.8146.3358.0761.47

Multi-Stage Valuation

MetricLOWBASEHIGH
WACC / Discount Rate7.56%7.56%7.56%
Growth Rate5.50%6.50%7.50%
Year 1 PV (M)16.5816.7416.90
Year 2 PV (M)22.3922.8223.25
Year 3 PV (M)27.9728.7829.59
Year 4 PV (M)33.3334.6135.93
Year 5 PV (M)38.4840.3442.27
PV of Terminal Value (M)893.44936.59981.40
Equity Value (M)1,032.191,079.871,129.33
Shares Outstanding (M)29.7429.7429.74
Fair Value$34.70$36.31$37.97
Upside / Downside587.22%618.96%651.89%

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