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CapMan Oyj (0E1L.L)

Company Dividend Discount ModelIndustry: Financial - DiversifiedSector: Financial Services

Valuation Snapshot

Stable Growth$5.93 - $11.00$8.01
Multi-Stage$8.91 - $9.78$9.34
Blended Fair Value$8.67
Current Price$1.88
Upside361.28%
DecisionBuy

Dividend History & Growth Metrics (10Y)

Metric5Y CAGR10Y CAGR2024202320222021202020192018201720162015
DPS3.02%20.35%0.120.160.140.120.120.100.090.070.030.03
YoY Growth---24.63%16.44%12.72%1.78%15.28%17.91%23.24%116.01%16.67%49.97%
Dividend Yield--6.51%8.11%4.89%4.88%4.54%5.93%5.61%4.93%2.31%3.08%

Stable Growth Model (Adjusted)

(USD in Millions except Per Share Data)
Net Income To Common (M)73.61
(-) Cash Dividends Paid (M)27.15
(=) Cash Retained (M)46.47
MetricLOWBASEHIGH
Required Retention Ratio20.0%12.5%7.5%
(=) Cash Required (M)14.729.205.52
Cash Retained (M)46.4746.4746.47
(-) Cash Required (M)-14.72-9.20-5.52
(=) Excess Retained (M)31.7437.2640.94
(/) Shares Outstanding (M)183.75183.75183.75
(=) Excess Retained per Share0.170.200.22
LTM Dividend per Share0.150.150.15
(+) Excess Retained per Share0.170.200.22
(=) Adjusted Dividend0.320.350.37
WACC / Discount Rate6.78%6.78%6.78%
Growth Rate1.30%2.30%3.30%
Fair Value$5.93$8.01$11.00
Upside / Downside215.17%325.83%485.20%

Multi-Stage Model: Projections

(USD in Millions)
MetricTTMDec-27Dec-28Dec-29Dec-30Dec-31Terminal
Net Income (M)73.6175.3177.0578.8280.6482.5084.97
Payout Ratio36.88%47.50%58.13%68.75%79.38%90.00%92.50%
Projected Dividends (M)27.1535.7744.7854.1964.0174.2578.60

Multi-Stage Valuation

MetricLOWBASEHIGH
WACC / Discount Rate6.78%6.78%6.78%
Growth Rate1.30%2.30%3.30%
Year 1 PV (M)33.1733.5033.83
Year 2 PV (M)38.5139.2840.05
Year 3 PV (M)43.2144.5045.82
Year 4 PV (M)47.3349.2351.18
Year 5 PV (M)50.9153.4756.14
PV of Terminal Value (M)1,424.191,495.891,570.44
Equity Value (M)1,637.331,715.871,797.46
Shares Outstanding (M)183.75183.75183.75
Fair Value$8.91$9.34$9.78
Upside / Downside373.98%396.72%420.34%

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