Definitive Analysis
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Definitive Analysis

Financial Statements

Ticker

Industry

Sector

Histeel Co.,Ltd. (071090.KS)

Company Dividend Discount ModelIndustry: SteelSector: Basic Materials

Valuation Snapshot

Stable Growth$145.83 - $215.57$179.22
Multi-Stage$268.46 - $294.72$281.34
Blended Fair Value$230.28
Current Price$4,100.00
Upside-94.38%
DecisionDon't Buy

Dividend History & Growth Metrics (10Y)

Metric5Y CAGR10Y CAGR2024202320222021202020192018201720162015
DPS0.00%0.10%10.0020.0039.619.909.900.0034.6614.850.0014.85
YoY Growth---50.00%-49.52%300.00%0.00%0.00%-100.00%133.33%0.00%-100.00%50.00%
Dividend Yield--0.28%0.65%0.94%0.20%0.35%0.00%1.47%0.54%0.00%0.78%

Stable Growth Model (Adjusted)

(USD in Millions except Per Share Data)
Net Income To Common (M)371.68
(-) Cash Dividends Paid (M)201.84
(=) Cash Retained (M)169.84
MetricLOWBASEHIGH
Required Retention Ratio20.0%12.5%7.5%
(=) Cash Required (M)74.3446.4627.88
Cash Retained (M)169.84169.84169.84
(-) Cash Required (M)-74.34-46.46-27.88
(=) Excess Retained (M)95.51123.38141.97
(/) Shares Outstanding (M)20.1920.1920.19
(=) Excess Retained per Share4.736.117.03
LTM Dividend per Share10.0010.0010.00
(+) Excess Retained per Share4.736.117.03
(=) Adjusted Dividend14.7316.1117.03
WACC / Discount Rate8.00%8.00%8.00%
Growth Rate-1.90%-0.90%0.10%
Fair Value$145.83$179.22$215.57
Upside / Downside-96.44%-95.63%-94.74%

Multi-Stage Model: Projections

(USD in Millions)
MetricTTMDec-27Dec-28Dec-29Dec-30Dec-31Terminal
Net Income (M)371.68368.32364.99361.69358.42355.17365.83
Payout Ratio54.30%61.44%68.58%75.72%82.86%90.00%92.50%
Projected Dividends (M)201.84226.31250.32273.87296.99319.66338.39

Multi-Stage Valuation

MetricLOWBASEHIGH
WACC / Discount Rate8.00%8.00%8.00%
Growth Rate-1.90%-0.90%0.10%
Year 1 PV (M)207.42209.54211.65
Year 2 PV (M)210.28214.59218.94
Year 3 PV (M)210.87217.39224.04
Year 4 PV (M)209.59218.27227.21
Year 5 PV (M)206.76217.52228.72
PV of Terminal Value (M)4,374.564,602.124,839.06
Equity Value (M)5,419.485,679.425,949.62
Shares Outstanding (M)20.1920.1920.19
Fair Value$268.46$281.34$294.72
Upside / Downside-93.45%-93.14%-92.81%

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