Definitive Analysis
| Stable Growth | $343,292.31 - $680,950.65 | $638,150.48 |
| Multi-Stage | $103,782.77 - $113,697.20 | $108,648.49 |
| Blended Fair Value | $373,399.49 | |
| Current Price | $8,030.00 | |
| Upside | 4,550.06% | |
| Decision | Buy | |
| Metric | 5Y CAGR | 10Y CAGR | 2024 | 2023 | 2022 | 2021 | 2020 | 2019 | 2018 | 2017 | 2016 | 2015 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| DPS | 24.50% | 33.44% | 501.25 | 121.97 | 125.07 | 133.80 | 141.52 | 167.59 | 70.64 | 40.47 | 39.83 | 33.59 |
| YoY Growth | - | - | 310.96% | -2.48% | -6.52% | -5.45% | -15.56% | 137.25% | 74.54% | 1.61% | 18.57% | 20.01% |
| Dividend Yield | - | - | 9.77% | 2.78% | 2.89% | 1.49% | 1.34% | 2.55% | 0.50% | 0.29% | 0.25% | 0.17% |
| Net Income To Common (M) | 533,853.33 |
| (-) Cash Dividends Paid (M) | 78,211.24 |
| (=) Cash Retained (M) | 455,642.08 |
| Metric | LOW | BASE | HIGH |
|---|---|---|---|
| Required Retention Ratio | 20.0% | 12.5% | 7.5% |
| (=) Cash Required (M) | 106,770.67 | 66,731.67 | 40,039.00 |
| Cash Retained (M) | 455,642.08 | 455,642.08 | 455,642.08 |
| (-) Cash Required (M) | -106,770.67 | -66,731.67 | -40,039.00 |
| (=) Excess Retained (M) | 348,871.42 | 388,910.42 | 415,603.08 |
| (/) Shares Outstanding (M) | 155.91 | 155.91 | 155.91 |
| (=) Excess Retained per Share | 2,237.58 | 2,494.38 | 2,665.58 |
| LTM Dividend per Share | 501.63 | 501.63 | 501.63 |
| (+) Excess Retained per Share | 2,237.58 | 2,494.38 | 2,665.58 |
| (=) Adjusted Dividend | 2,739.21 | 2,996.01 | 3,167.21 |
| WACC / Discount Rate | 6.34% | 6.34% | 6.34% |
| Growth Rate | 5.50% | 6.50% | 7.50% |
| Fair Value | $343,292.31 | $638,150.48 | $680,950.65 |
| Upside / Downside | 4,175.12% | 7,847.08% | 8,380.08% |
| Metric | TTM | Dec-27 | Dec-28 | Dec-29 | Dec-30 | Dec-31 | Terminal |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Net Income (M) | 533,853.33 | 568,553.79 | 605,509.79 | 644,867.92 | 686,784.34 | 731,425.32 | 753,368.08 |
| Payout Ratio | 14.65% | 29.72% | 44.79% | 59.86% | 74.93% | 90.00% | 92.50% |
| Projected Dividends (M) | 78,211.24 | 168,975.66 | 271,209.01 | 386,018.78 | 514,607.95 | 658,282.79 | 696,865.48 |
| Metric | LOW | BASE | HIGH |
|---|---|---|---|
| WACC / Discount Rate | 6.34% | 6.34% | 6.34% |
| Growth Rate | 5.50% | 6.50% | 7.50% |
| Year 1 PV (M) | 157,406.61 | 158,898.61 | 160,390.62 |
| Year 2 PV (M) | 235,343.24 | 239,825.87 | 244,350.78 |
| Year 3 PV (M) | 312,036.10 | 320,993.54 | 330,120.78 |
| Year 4 PV (M) | 387,500.01 | 402,402.17 | 417,730.07 |
| Year 5 PV (M) | 461,749.60 | 484,052.28 | 507,208.54 |
| PV of Terminal Value (M) | 14,627,203.12 | 15,333,702.50 | 16,067,241.28 |
| Equity Value (M) | 16,181,238.69 | 16,939,874.97 | 17,727,042.06 |
| Shares Outstanding (M) | 155.91 | 155.91 | 155.91 |
| Fair Value | $103,782.77 | $108,648.49 | $113,697.20 |
| Upside / Downside | 1,192.44% | 1,253.03% | 1,315.91% |
| Ticker ⇵ | Company ⇵ | Dividend Yield % ▼ | Dividend Per Share ⇵ | Payout Ratio % ⇵ |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0K58.L | NOV Inc. | 1.29% | $0.20 | 15.83% |
| CON | Concentra Group Holdings Parent, Inc. | 1.29% | $0.25 | 20.88% |
| CSGS | CSG Systems International, Inc. | 1.28% | $0.98 | 32.90% |
| CSL | Carlisle Companies Incorporated | 1.28% | $4.20 | 23.23% |
| JKHY | Jack Henry & Associates, Inc. | 1.28% | $2.29 | 34.69% |
| MSA | MSA Safety Incorporated | 1.28% | $2.08 | 29.19% |
| PAHC | Phibro Animal Health Corporation | 1.28% | $0.48 | 28.68% |
| WMG | Warner Music Group Corp. | 1.28% | $0.39 | 61.67% |
| 0K4C.L | NRG Energy, Inc. | 1.27% | $2.10 | 28.38% |
| DCI | Donaldson Company, Inc. | 1.27% | $1.14 | 35.14% |
| TEX | Terex Corporation | 1.27% | $0.70 | 29.49% |
| BCC | Boise Cascade Company | 1.26% | $0.93 | 18.09% |
| BCML | BayCom Corp | 1.25% | $0.36 | 16.94% |
| MSCI | MSCI Inc. | 1.25% | $7.07 | 44.68% |
| PRMW | Primo Water Corporation | 1.25% | $0.35 | 61.28% |
| ESI | Element Solutions Inc | 1.24% | $0.32 | 32.50% |
| LECO | Lincoln Electric Holdings, Inc. | 1.23% | $3.00 | 31.76% |
| MCRI | Monarch Casino & Resort, Inc. | 1.23% | $1.18 | 26.69% |
| PBI-PB | Pitney Bowes Inc. NT 43 | 1.23% | $0.25 | 61.37% |
| RJF | Raymond James Financial, Inc. | 1.23% | $2.01 | 19.48% |
| WFRD | Weatherford International plc | 1.23% | $1.00 | 17.78% |
| AMP | Ameriprise Financial, Inc. | 1.22% | $6.04 | 16.30% |
| BRC | Brady Corporation | 1.22% | $0.96 | 23.25% |
| GCBC | Greene County Bancorp, Inc. | 1.21% | $0.26 | 13.26% |
| RICK | RCI Hospitality Holdings, Inc. | 1.21% | $0.28 | 15.00% |
| ABC | AmerisourceBergen Corporation | 1.20% | $2.25 | 28.12% |
| EQBK | Equity Bancshares, Inc. | 1.20% | $0.54 | 58.24% |
| HMNF | HMN Financial, Inc. | 1.20% | $0.34 | 28.27% |
| IBP | Installed Building Products, Inc. | 1.20% | $3.22 | 34.18% |
| CHH | Choice Hotels International, Inc. | 1.19% | $1.15 | 13.93% |
| EQC | Equity Commonwealth | 1.19% | $0.02 | 8.60% |
| FLS | Flowserve Corporation | 1.19% | $0.84 | 24.35% |
| ICE | Intercontinental Exchange, Inc. | 1.19% | $1.90 | 33.71% |
| LNN | Lindsay Corporation | 1.19% | $1.44 | 21.27% |
| INGM | Ingram Micro Holding Corporation | 1.18% | $0.25 | 20.42% |
| RBA | RB Global, Inc. | 1.18% | $1.22 | 52.13% |
| SEIC | SEI Investments Company | 1.18% | $0.98 | 17.66% |
| HEES | H&E Equipment Services, Inc. | 1.17% | $1.11 | 44.29% |
| WSFS | WSFS Financial Corporation | 1.17% | $0.64 | 13.17% |
| ASTE | Astec Industries, Inc. | 1.16% | $0.52 | 24.84% |
| GFGD | The Growth for Good Acquisition Corporation | 1.16% | $0.12 | 42.35% |
| HUBG | Hub Group, Inc. | 1.16% | $0.50 | 28.58% |
| NWS | News Corporation | 1.16% | $0.35 | 16.79% |
| FCX | Freeport-McMoRan Inc. | 1.15% | $0.60 | 41.87% |
| GFF | Griffon Corporation | 1.15% | $0.86 | 77.66% |
| LH | Labcorp Holdings Inc. | 1.15% | $2.89 | 28.24% |
| YAFIX | AMG Funds - AMG Yacktman Focused Fund | 1.15% | $0.22 | 27.84% |
| 0L1G.L | SS&C Technologies Holdings, Inc. | 1.14% | $0.99 | 29.41% |
| 0M29.L | Xylem Inc. | 1.14% | $1.56 | 40.08% |
| DHI | D.R. Horton, Inc. | 1.14% | $1.66 | 13.80% |