Definitive Analysis
| Stable Growth | $7,530,028.37 - $31,672,972.43 | $18,907,520.15 |
| Multi-Stage | $4,175,770.07 - $4,576,726.74 | $4,372,531.80 |
| Blended Fair Value | $11,640,025.98 | |
| Current Price | $384,000.00 | |
| Upside | 2,931.26% | |
| Decision | Buy | |
| Metric | 5Y CAGR | 10Y CAGR | 2024 | 2023 | 2022 | 2021 | 2020 | 2019 | 2018 | 2017 | 2016 | 2015 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| DPS | -7.84% | -2.88% | 8,000.19 | 8,000.19 | 7,248.18 | 6,248.15 | 6,804.49 | 12,034.29 | 12,034.41 | 12,059.64 | 12,069.50 | 11,989.72 |
| YoY Growth | - | - | 0.00% | 10.38% | 16.01% | -8.18% | -43.46% | 0.00% | -0.21% | -0.08% | 0.67% | 11.84% |
| Dividend Yield | - | - | 3.17% | 3.11% | 3.26% | 1.83% | 2.87% | 9.29% | 3.85% | 3.49% | 3.41% | 2.88% |
| Net Income To Common (M) | 1,177,191.38 |
| (-) Cash Dividends Paid (M) | 73,541.71 |
| (=) Cash Retained (M) | 1,103,649.67 |
| Metric | LOW | BASE | HIGH |
|---|---|---|---|
| Required Retention Ratio | 20.0% | 12.5% | 7.5% |
| (=) Cash Required (M) | 235,438.28 | 147,148.92 | 88,289.35 |
| Cash Retained (M) | 1,103,649.67 | 1,103,649.67 | 1,103,649.67 |
| (-) Cash Required (M) | -235,438.28 | -147,148.92 | -88,289.35 |
| (=) Excess Retained (M) | 868,211.40 | 956,500.75 | 1,015,360.32 |
| (/) Shares Outstanding (M) | 7.35 | 7.35 | 7.35 |
| (=) Excess Retained per Share | 118,059.75 | 130,065.37 | 138,069.12 |
| LTM Dividend per Share | 10,000.23 | 10,000.23 | 10,000.23 |
| (+) Excess Retained per Share | 118,059.75 | 130,065.37 | 138,069.12 |
| (=) Adjusted Dividend | 128,059.98 | 140,065.61 | 148,069.35 |
| WACC / Discount Rate | 6.74% | 6.74% | 6.74% |
| Growth Rate | 4.95% | 5.95% | 6.95% |
| Fair Value | $7,530,028.37 | $18,907,520.15 | $31,672,972.43 |
| Upside / Downside | 1,860.94% | 4,823.83% | 8,148.17% |
| Metric | TTM | Dec-27 | Dec-28 | Dec-29 | Dec-30 | Dec-31 | Terminal |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Net Income (M) | 1,177,191.38 | 1,247,271.54 | 1,321,523.69 | 1,400,196.19 | 1,483,552.20 | 1,571,870.53 | 1,619,026.64 |
| Payout Ratio | 6.25% | 23.00% | 39.75% | 56.50% | 73.25% | 90.00% | 92.50% |
| Projected Dividends (M) | 73,541.71 | 286,844.69 | 525,283.61 | 791,095.27 | 1,086,693.73 | 1,414,683.47 | 1,497,599.64 |
| Metric | LOW | BASE | HIGH |
|---|---|---|---|
| WACC / Discount Rate | 6.74% | 6.74% | 6.74% |
| Growth Rate | 4.95% | 5.95% | 6.95% |
| Year 1 PV (M) | 266,200.66 | 268,737.03 | 271,273.41 |
| Year 2 PV (M) | 452,395.68 | 461,057.66 | 469,801.77 |
| Year 3 PV (M) | 632,289.09 | 650,535.30 | 669,129.21 |
| Year 4 PV (M) | 806,039.57 | 837,201.39 | 869,258.14 |
| Year 5 PV (M) | 973,802.27 | 1,021,087.02 | 1,070,190.98 |
| PV of Terminal Value (M) | 27,577,885.83 | 28,916,980.47 | 30,307,594.94 |
| Equity Value (M) | 30,708,613.10 | 32,155,598.88 | 33,657,248.46 |
| Shares Outstanding (M) | 7.35 | 7.35 | 7.35 |
| Fair Value | $4,175,770.07 | $4,372,531.80 | $4,576,726.74 |
| Upside / Downside | 987.44% | 1,038.68% | 1,091.86% |
| Ticker ⇵ | Company ⇵ | Dividend Yield % ▼ | Dividend Per Share ⇵ | Payout Ratio % ⇵ |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0K58.L | NOV Inc. | 1.29% | $0.20 | 15.83% |
| CON | Concentra Group Holdings Parent, Inc. | 1.29% | $0.25 | 20.88% |
| CSGS | CSG Systems International, Inc. | 1.28% | $0.98 | 32.90% |
| CSL | Carlisle Companies Incorporated | 1.28% | $4.20 | 23.23% |
| JKHY | Jack Henry & Associates, Inc. | 1.28% | $2.29 | 34.69% |
| MSA | MSA Safety Incorporated | 1.28% | $2.08 | 29.19% |
| PAHC | Phibro Animal Health Corporation | 1.28% | $0.48 | 28.68% |
| WMG | Warner Music Group Corp. | 1.28% | $0.39 | 61.67% |
| 0K4C.L | NRG Energy, Inc. | 1.27% | $2.10 | 28.38% |
| DCI | Donaldson Company, Inc. | 1.27% | $1.14 | 35.14% |
| TEX | Terex Corporation | 1.27% | $0.70 | 29.49% |
| BCC | Boise Cascade Company | 1.26% | $0.93 | 18.09% |
| BCML | BayCom Corp | 1.25% | $0.36 | 16.94% |
| MSCI | MSCI Inc. | 1.25% | $7.07 | 44.68% |
| PRMW | Primo Water Corporation | 1.25% | $0.35 | 61.28% |
| ESI | Element Solutions Inc | 1.24% | $0.32 | 32.50% |
| LECO | Lincoln Electric Holdings, Inc. | 1.23% | $3.00 | 31.76% |
| MCRI | Monarch Casino & Resort, Inc. | 1.23% | $1.18 | 26.69% |
| PBI-PB | Pitney Bowes Inc. NT 43 | 1.23% | $0.25 | 61.37% |
| RJF | Raymond James Financial, Inc. | 1.23% | $2.01 | 19.48% |
| WFRD | Weatherford International plc | 1.23% | $1.00 | 17.78% |
| AMP | Ameriprise Financial, Inc. | 1.22% | $6.04 | 16.30% |
| BRC | Brady Corporation | 1.22% | $0.96 | 23.25% |
| GCBC | Greene County Bancorp, Inc. | 1.21% | $0.26 | 13.26% |
| RICK | RCI Hospitality Holdings, Inc. | 1.21% | $0.28 | 15.00% |
| ABC | AmerisourceBergen Corporation | 1.20% | $2.25 | 28.12% |
| EQBK | Equity Bancshares, Inc. | 1.20% | $0.54 | 58.24% |
| HMNF | HMN Financial, Inc. | 1.20% | $0.34 | 28.27% |
| IBP | Installed Building Products, Inc. | 1.20% | $3.22 | 34.18% |
| CHH | Choice Hotels International, Inc. | 1.19% | $1.15 | 13.93% |
| EQC | Equity Commonwealth | 1.19% | $0.02 | 8.60% |
| FLS | Flowserve Corporation | 1.19% | $0.84 | 24.35% |
| ICE | Intercontinental Exchange, Inc. | 1.19% | $1.90 | 33.71% |
| LNN | Lindsay Corporation | 1.19% | $1.44 | 21.27% |
| INGM | Ingram Micro Holding Corporation | 1.18% | $0.25 | 20.42% |
| RBA | RB Global, Inc. | 1.18% | $1.22 | 52.13% |
| SEIC | SEI Investments Company | 1.18% | $0.98 | 17.66% |
| HEES | H&E Equipment Services, Inc. | 1.17% | $1.11 | 44.29% |
| WSFS | WSFS Financial Corporation | 1.17% | $0.64 | 13.17% |
| ASTE | Astec Industries, Inc. | 1.16% | $0.52 | 24.84% |
| GFGD | The Growth for Good Acquisition Corporation | 1.16% | $0.12 | 42.35% |
| HUBG | Hub Group, Inc. | 1.16% | $0.50 | 28.58% |
| NWS | News Corporation | 1.16% | $0.35 | 16.79% |
| FCX | Freeport-McMoRan Inc. | 1.15% | $0.60 | 41.87% |
| GFF | Griffon Corporation | 1.15% | $0.86 | 77.66% |
| LH | Labcorp Holdings Inc. | 1.15% | $2.89 | 28.24% |
| YAFIX | AMG Funds - AMG Yacktman Focused Fund | 1.15% | $0.22 | 27.84% |
| 0L1G.L | SS&C Technologies Holdings, Inc. | 1.14% | $0.99 | 29.41% |
| 0M29.L | Xylem Inc. | 1.14% | $1.56 | 40.08% |
| DHI | D.R. Horton, Inc. | 1.14% | $1.66 | 13.80% |