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Richards Packaging Income Fund (RPI-UN.TO)

Company Dividend Discount ModelIndustry: Packaging & ContainersSector: Consumer Cyclical

Valuation Snapshot

Stable Growth$97.78 - $386.53$267.35
Multi-Stage$60.18 - $65.83$62.96
Blended Fair Value$165.15
Current Price$34.50
Upside378.70%
DecisionBuy

Dividend History & Growth Metrics (10Y)

Metric5Y CAGR10Y CAGR2024202320222021202020192018201720162015
DPS5.72%6.64%1.681.281.931.291.301.271.361.311.100.91
YoY Growth--31.17%-33.59%49.10%-0.37%2.04%-6.66%3.85%19.55%20.16%3.39%
Dividend Yield--6.26%3.77%4.85%2.55%1.87%3.27%3.54%4.19%4.21%4.35%

Stable Growth Model (Adjusted)

(USD in Millions except Per Share Data)
Net Income To Common (M)22.37
(-) Cash Dividends Paid (M)18.53
(=) Cash Retained (M)3.84
MetricLOWBASEHIGH
Required Retention Ratio20.0%12.5%7.5%
(=) Cash Required (M)4.472.801.68
Cash Retained (M)3.843.843.84
(-) Cash Required (M)-4.47-2.80-1.68
(=) Excess Retained (M)-0.641.042.16
(/) Shares Outstanding (M)11.4211.4211.42
(=) Excess Retained per Share-0.060.090.19
LTM Dividend per Share1.621.621.62
(+) Excess Retained per Share-0.060.090.19
(=) Adjusted Dividend1.571.711.81
WACC / Discount Rate6.31%6.31%6.31%
Growth Rate4.64%5.64%6.64%
Fair Value$97.78$267.35$386.53
Upside / Downside183.41%674.92%1,020.38%

Multi-Stage Model: Projections

(USD in Millions)
MetricTTMDec-27Dec-28Dec-29Dec-30Dec-31Terminal
Net Income (M)22.3723.6324.9626.3727.8629.4330.31
Payout Ratio82.84%84.28%85.71%87.14%88.57%90.00%92.50%
Projected Dividends (M)18.5319.9221.4022.9824.6726.4828.04

Multi-Stage Valuation

MetricLOWBASEHIGH
WACC / Discount Rate6.31%6.31%6.31%
Growth Rate4.64%5.64%6.64%
Year 1 PV (M)18.5618.7318.91
Year 2 PV (M)18.5718.9319.29
Year 3 PV (M)18.5919.1219.67
Year 4 PV (M)18.5919.3120.06
Year 5 PV (M)18.6019.5020.44
PV of Terminal Value (M)594.28623.22653.28
Equity Value (M)687.18718.83751.66
Shares Outstanding (M)11.4211.4211.42
Fair Value$60.18$62.96$65.83
Upside / Downside74.45%82.48%90.81%

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