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Republic Bancorp, Inc. (RBCAA)

Company Dividend Discount ModelIndustry: Banks - RegionalSector: Financial Services

Valuation Snapshot

Stable Growth$147.20 - $378.55$222.93
Multi-Stage$103.21 - $112.77$107.90
Blended Fair Value$165.41
Current Price$72.25
Upside128.95%
DecisionBuy

Dividend History & Growth Metrics (10Y)

Metric5Y CAGR10Y CAGR2024202320222021202020192018201720162015
DPS7.37%7.41%1.541.431.321.251.171.080.990.890.850.80
YoY Growth--7.60%8.43%5.85%6.44%8.55%9.64%10.43%5.30%5.87%6.09%
Dividend Yield--2.42%2.92%3.11%2.78%2.65%3.27%2.17%2.33%2.46%3.10%

Stable Growth Model (Adjusted)

(USD in Millions except Per Share Data)
Net Income To Common (M)127.51
(-) Cash Dividends Paid (M)32.97
(=) Cash Retained (M)94.54
MetricLOWBASEHIGH
Required Retention Ratio20.0%12.5%7.5%
(=) Cash Required (M)25.5015.949.56
Cash Retained (M)94.5494.5494.54
(-) Cash Required (M)-25.50-15.94-9.56
(=) Excess Retained (M)69.0478.6184.98
(/) Shares Outstanding (M)19.7919.7919.79
(=) Excess Retained per Share3.493.974.29
LTM Dividend per Share1.671.671.67
(+) Excess Retained per Share3.493.974.29
(=) Adjusted Dividend5.155.645.96
WACC / Discount Rate9.10%9.10%9.10%
Growth Rate5.41%6.41%7.41%
Fair Value$147.20$222.93$378.55
Upside / Downside103.74%208.55%423.95%

Multi-Stage Model: Projections

(USD in Millions)
MetricTTMDec-27Dec-28Dec-29Dec-30Dec-31Terminal
Net Income (M)127.51135.68144.37153.62163.47173.94179.16
Payout Ratio25.85%38.68%51.51%64.34%77.17%90.00%92.50%
Projected Dividends (M)32.9752.4974.3798.85126.15156.55165.72

Multi-Stage Valuation

MetricLOWBASEHIGH
WACC / Discount Rate9.10%9.10%9.10%
Growth Rate5.41%6.41%7.41%
Year 1 PV (M)47.6648.1148.56
Year 2 PV (M)61.3262.4863.66
Year 3 PV (M)74.0076.1278.29
Year 4 PV (M)85.7589.0592.44
Year 5 PV (M)96.62101.29106.14
PV of Terminal Value (M)1,677.281,758.371,842.56
Equity Value (M)2,042.612,135.422,231.65
Shares Outstanding (M)19.7919.7919.79
Fair Value$103.21$107.90$112.77
Upside / Downside42.86%49.35%56.08%

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