Definitive Analysis
| Stable Growth | $25,422.05 - $91,921.66 | $80,582.40 |
| Multi-Stage | $11,921.55 - $13,027.73 | $12,464.56 |
| Blended Fair Value | $46,523.48 | |
| Current Price | $8,675.00 | |
| Upside | 436.29% | |
| Decision | Buy | |
| Metric | 5Y CAGR | 10Y CAGR | 2024 | 2023 | 2022 | 2021 | 2020 | 2019 | 2018 | 2017 | 2016 | 2015 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| DPS | 31.34% | 27.21% | 277.51 | 212.51 | 155.01 | 111.40 | 110.60 | 71.00 | 52.00 | 42.00 | 35.00 | 30.60 |
| YoY Growth | - | - | 30.59% | 37.10% | 39.14% | 0.72% | 55.77% | 36.54% | 23.81% | 20.00% | 14.38% | 22.40% |
| Dividend Yield | - | - | 3.26% | 2.16% | 1.77% | 1.40% | 1.78% | 1.29% | 0.95% | 0.90% | 1.06% | 1.15% |
| Net Income To Common (M) | 56,976,535.00 |
| (-) Cash Dividends Paid (M) | 36,982,515.00 |
| (=) Cash Retained (M) | 19,994,020.00 |
| Metric | LOW | BASE | HIGH |
|---|---|---|---|
| Required Retention Ratio | 20.0% | 12.5% | 7.5% |
| (=) Cash Required (M) | 11,395,307.00 | 7,122,066.88 | 4,273,240.13 |
| Cash Retained (M) | 19,994,020.00 | 19,994,020.00 | 19,994,020.00 |
| (-) Cash Required (M) | -11,395,307.00 | -7,122,066.88 | -4,273,240.13 |
| (=) Excess Retained (M) | 8,598,713.00 | 12,871,953.13 | 15,720,779.88 |
| (/) Shares Outstanding (M) | 123,270.28 | 123,270.28 | 123,270.28 |
| (=) Excess Retained per Share | 69.75 | 104.42 | 127.53 |
| LTM Dividend per Share | 300.01 | 300.01 | 300.01 |
| (+) Excess Retained per Share | 69.75 | 104.42 | 127.53 |
| (=) Adjusted Dividend | 369.77 | 404.43 | 427.54 |
| WACC / Discount Rate | 7.03% | 7.03% | 7.03% |
| Growth Rate | 5.50% | 6.50% | 7.50% |
| Fair Value | $25,422.05 | $80,582.40 | $91,921.66 |
| Upside / Downside | 193.05% | 828.90% | 959.62% |
| Metric | TTM | Dec-27 | Dec-28 | Dec-29 | Dec-30 | Dec-31 | Terminal |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Net Income (M) | 56,976,535.00 | 60,680,009.78 | 64,624,210.41 | 68,824,784.09 | 73,298,395.05 | 78,062,790.73 | 80,404,674.45 |
| Payout Ratio | 64.91% | 69.93% | 74.94% | 79.96% | 84.98% | 90.00% | 92.50% |
| Projected Dividends (M) | 36,982,515.00 | 42,431,504.54 | 48,432,611.59 | 55,034,589.46 | 62,290,196.66 | 70,256,511.66 | 74,374,323.87 |
| Metric | LOW | BASE | HIGH |
|---|---|---|---|
| WACC / Discount Rate | 7.03% | 7.03% | 7.03% |
| Growth Rate | 5.50% | 6.50% | 7.50% |
| Year 1 PV (M) | 39,270,593.19 | 39,642,826.30 | 40,015,059.41 |
| Year 2 PV (M) | 41,485,463.63 | 42,275,645.19 | 43,073,281.29 |
| Year 3 PV (M) | 43,628,755.15 | 44,881,179.92 | 46,157,346.63 |
| Year 4 PV (M) | 45,702,064.88 | 47,459,637.32 | 49,267,422.37 |
| Year 5 PV (M) | 47,706,958.91 | 50,011,222.86 | 52,403,676.42 |
| PV of Terminal Value (M) | 1,251,778,469.63 | 1,312,239,837.78 | 1,375,015,204.80 |
| Equity Value (M) | 1,469,572,305.39 | 1,536,510,349.37 | 1,605,931,990.93 |
| Shares Outstanding (M) | 123,270.28 | 123,270.28 | 123,270.28 |
| Fair Value | $11,921.55 | $12,464.56 | $13,027.73 |
| Upside / Downside | 37.42% | 43.68% | 50.18% |
| Ticker ⇵ | Company ⇵ | Dividend Yield % ▼ | Dividend Per Share ⇵ | Payout Ratio % ⇵ |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0K58.L | NOV Inc. | 1.29% | $0.20 | 15.83% |
| CON | Concentra Group Holdings Parent, Inc. | 1.29% | $0.25 | 20.88% |
| CSGS | CSG Systems International, Inc. | 1.28% | $0.98 | 32.90% |
| CSL | Carlisle Companies Incorporated | 1.28% | $4.20 | 23.23% |
| JKHY | Jack Henry & Associates, Inc. | 1.28% | $2.29 | 34.69% |
| MSA | MSA Safety Incorporated | 1.28% | $2.08 | 29.19% |
| PAHC | Phibro Animal Health Corporation | 1.28% | $0.48 | 28.68% |
| WMG | Warner Music Group Corp. | 1.28% | $0.39 | 61.67% |
| 0K4C.L | NRG Energy, Inc. | 1.27% | $2.10 | 28.38% |
| DCI | Donaldson Company, Inc. | 1.27% | $1.14 | 35.14% |
| TEX | Terex Corporation | 1.27% | $0.70 | 29.49% |
| BCC | Boise Cascade Company | 1.26% | $0.93 | 18.09% |
| BCML | BayCom Corp | 1.25% | $0.36 | 16.94% |
| MSCI | MSCI Inc. | 1.25% | $7.07 | 44.68% |
| PRMW | Primo Water Corporation | 1.25% | $0.35 | 61.28% |
| ESI | Element Solutions Inc | 1.24% | $0.32 | 32.50% |
| LECO | Lincoln Electric Holdings, Inc. | 1.23% | $3.00 | 31.76% |
| MCRI | Monarch Casino & Resort, Inc. | 1.23% | $1.18 | 26.69% |
| PBI-PB | Pitney Bowes Inc. NT 43 | 1.23% | $0.25 | 61.37% |
| RJF | Raymond James Financial, Inc. | 1.23% | $2.01 | 19.48% |
| WFRD | Weatherford International plc | 1.23% | $1.00 | 17.78% |
| AMP | Ameriprise Financial, Inc. | 1.22% | $6.04 | 16.30% |
| BRC | Brady Corporation | 1.22% | $0.96 | 23.25% |
| GCBC | Greene County Bancorp, Inc. | 1.21% | $0.26 | 13.26% |
| RICK | RCI Hospitality Holdings, Inc. | 1.21% | $0.28 | 15.00% |
| ABC | AmerisourceBergen Corporation | 1.20% | $2.25 | 28.12% |
| EQBK | Equity Bancshares, Inc. | 1.20% | $0.54 | 58.24% |
| HMNF | HMN Financial, Inc. | 1.20% | $0.34 | 28.27% |
| IBP | Installed Building Products, Inc. | 1.20% | $3.22 | 34.18% |
| CHH | Choice Hotels International, Inc. | 1.19% | $1.15 | 13.93% |
| EQC | Equity Commonwealth | 1.19% | $0.02 | 8.60% |
| FLS | Flowserve Corporation | 1.19% | $0.84 | 24.35% |
| ICE | Intercontinental Exchange, Inc. | 1.19% | $1.90 | 33.71% |
| LNN | Lindsay Corporation | 1.19% | $1.44 | 21.27% |
| INGM | Ingram Micro Holding Corporation | 1.18% | $0.25 | 20.42% |
| RBA | RB Global, Inc. | 1.18% | $1.22 | 52.13% |
| SEIC | SEI Investments Company | 1.18% | $0.98 | 17.66% |
| HEES | H&E Equipment Services, Inc. | 1.17% | $1.11 | 44.29% |
| WSFS | WSFS Financial Corporation | 1.17% | $0.64 | 13.17% |
| ASTE | Astec Industries, Inc. | 1.16% | $0.52 | 24.84% |
| GFGD | The Growth for Good Acquisition Corporation | 1.16% | $0.12 | 42.35% |
| HUBG | Hub Group, Inc. | 1.16% | $0.50 | 28.58% |
| NWS | News Corporation | 1.16% | $0.35 | 16.79% |
| FCX | Freeport-McMoRan Inc. | 1.15% | $0.60 | 41.87% |
| GFF | Griffon Corporation | 1.15% | $0.86 | 77.66% |
| LH | Labcorp Holdings Inc. | 1.15% | $2.89 | 28.24% |
| YAFIX | AMG Funds - AMG Yacktman Focused Fund | 1.15% | $0.22 | 27.84% |
| 0L1G.L | SS&C Technologies Holdings, Inc. | 1.14% | $0.99 | 29.41% |
| 0M29.L | Xylem Inc. | 1.14% | $1.56 | 40.08% |
| DHI | D.R. Horton, Inc. | 1.14% | $1.66 | 13.80% |